| LIFE CV-19: Effects on life, work, and sports
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Interesting data outta Dallas County. The DFW Metroplex consist of 4 counties - Dallas, Tarranty, Denton, and Collin.
The data is speaking, but few are giving it a voice. Below is worthy of a watch.
Remember, the reason we were flattening the curve was to alleviate the burden on the healthcare system. That's clearly not an issue for pretty much everywhere expect a few cities and areas. Pretty clear the models were off, in a big way.
Per Dr Erickson of Accelerated Urgent Care in Bakersfield, CA in the video linked below "0.03% of dying in California of COVID-19". He also mentions we've quarantining the healthy vs the sick. He talks about other states and countries as well. He brings a really good perspective to all of this.
Numbers as of yesterday, 5,184,635 tests, of which less than 18% or 931,698 tested positive. US Historical Data if you want another link to see how states compare.
What's really interesting, towards the end, he talks about restaurants that are opened. He suggests that big businesses are opened, but small businesses aren't. Read into this...
Remember, the reason we were flattening the curve was to alleviate the burden on the healthcare system. That's clearly not an issue for pretty much everywhere expect a few cities and areas. Pretty clear the models were off, in a big way.
Per Dr Erickson of Accelerated Urgent Care in Bakersfield, CA in the video linked below "0.03% of dying in California of COVID-19". He also mentions we've quarantining the healthy vs the sick. He talks about other states and countries as well. He brings a really good perspective to all of this.
Numbers as of yesterday, 5,184,635 tests, of which less than 18% or 931,698 tested positive. US Historical Data if you want another link to see how states compare.
What's really interesting, towards the end, he talks about restaurants that are opened. He suggests that big businesses are opened, but small businesses aren't. Read into this...
I was curious to see what data NYC has on the age and condition of those who died. This information is available at COVID-19: Data - NYC Health.
This link is what I used to get the snapshot below, https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths-04262020-1.pdf
This link is what I used to get the snapshot below, https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths-04262020-1.pdf
Regarding data, the daily new case reports that we get on the morning news and in the AJC for Georgia are the total new positive cases reported each day. For example, I think it was something like 781 Friday morning. Of those, some test results are as old as 30 days from day of test. On this graph, they are added to the day of the test instead of the day of test result. You have to drill down into the Georgia Public Health website to get a 7-day rolling average graph, which assigns cases to the day of test, and is an average of the last week's cases to smooth the data and consider some recent tests are not back. This is the type of data the governor used to conclude a phased reopening was warranted.
Is your son better? And I'm assuming no one else in the family got it?
Rumblings are coming out of barner land that they may be unable to field a team this year in football and maybe even basketball, even if those seasons aren't cancelled on the whole. Granted, it's just rumblings. Nothing official by any means. The reason for such rumblings are due to Lee county being hit so hard. They seem to think that even if things started to turn around in a major way right now, it still wouldn't be enough to get them back up to where they need to be to get the 2020-2021 athletic year started. Of course, a lot of them see this as an advantage, seeing as how they can have "renewed bragging rights". Just fucking silly. Never mind that not playing will set their program back. If they (or anyone for that matter) don't believe that the loss of a season won't set a program back, ask SMU how not playing in 1987 and 1988 worked out for them. Sure, that was because of the death penalty. It could be said that that's an apples to oranges comparison. But, the common denominator is...the loss of a season. That is NOT good no matter what the reason is for not playing. Bottom line is, if this season is cancelled all the way across the board, then we are ALL going to feel the hurt from it. From the major brand names all the way down to the most obscure directional schools. And if only certain programs are forced to cancel while the show goes on, then it's a worse scenario than a total shut down (for those programs that can't play) because they will REALLY feel the set back. Hope those "renewed bragging rights" will be worth it for the barn.
Yes, he's fine, thanks. No one else ever showed any symptoms, although as we've learned most people never show symptoms.
I mean Lee County has been hit relatively hard but nowhere near to the level of places like Jefferson or Mobile County's. Those all just happened to be the three of the most tested regions in the state, too, which I think needs to be accounted for. I wonder how many of those places have had outbreaks at nursing homes, too? Its still way too soon for anyone to jump out on a limb and imply something like that.
The below image is from https://www.alabamapublichealth.gov/covid19/assets/cov-al-cases-042520.pdf
As @BamaBoyJosh said, the data doesn't support them being hit harder than other areas, see this site for details.
As @BamaBoyJosh said, the data doesn't support them being hit harder than other areas, see this site for details.
It's amazing how much data they are readily providing. I'm a huge fan of this...
I'm of the opinion, the POTUS and taskforce need to start speaking to this data nightly. They need to use the data to help tell the story, it will help to dial things back.
I'm of the opinion, the POTUS and taskforce need to start speaking to this data nightly. They need to use the data to help tell the story, it will help to dial things back.
Sometimes I wonder how much of the lack of emphasis on certain things is the right people simply being overloaded with stuff right now. I talked to our regions ADPH Director and the EMA Director every single day. For like the first two weeks or so of this all they did was quote me how many tests had been administered, how many confirmed cases, how many pending tests and how many deaths. That's it. I finally asked "So how many of these require hospitalizations? How many have recovered and are out of quarantine?" and it was like a lightbulb went off like "maybe we should be putting this stuff out there, too?" And then ADPH guy broke down just how small the population in our county is of people that have been infected thus far, less than 1%, and they had planned for as much as a 4% infection rate. I was like "why have yall not been putting this info out there?" lol
This site is it - Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) | Alabama Department of Public Health (ADPH)
Honestly, in my opinion most of these are terrible UI's. I've been using time series platforms for 7+ years, so I'm familiar with them.
How to...
- Click Surveillance Dashboard link > ArcGIS Dashboards
- Click the county you want to look at, then click the arrow keys to scroll through the pages.
Jefferson County as an example:
Georgia's page is easier to read, but has less data.
COVID-19 Status Report
These data represent confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the Georgia Department of Public Health.
Barner little brother syndrome has spilled over into the pandemic. Once again they have to get their recognition. They don’t feel like their neck of the woods is getting the attention it deserves. So, they are saying “well...we...may not be able to field a team this year....even if everybody else does” to see if that raises some eyebrows. The funny part is, if that happened, they would see just how easily the state, the conference, and college football as a whole could move on without them.
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www.reviewjournal.com
Help dial what things back?
This site is it - Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) | Alabama Department of Public Health (ADPH)
Honestly, in my opinion most of these are terrible UI's. I've been using time series platforms for 7+ years, so I'm familiar with them.
How to...
- Click Surveillance Dashboard link > ArcGIS Dashboards
- Click the county you want to look at, then click the arrow keys to scroll through the pages.
Jefferson County as an example:
View attachment 13795View attachment 13796View attachment 13797
Georgia's page is easier to read, but has less data.
COVID-19 Status Report
These data represent confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the Georgia Department of Public Health.dph.georgia.gov
Oh I know, Ive been fighting with that damn database for three weeks. It crashes at least once a day, too. I meant that they need to be putting this information out to the media because there are too many out there that aren't going to go looking for the numbers. I had one TV station last week "demand" that I send you the press release that his station was "left out of" that detailed free testing sites in the area. There was no press release, I just talk to the people at ADPH almost every day and TV reporters are apparently too lazy to do so.
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