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An 11-2 record does not mean you're a threat. It's all about matchups and they have always lost games to teams better than them. It's as simple as matchups, and I see that every weekend on a travel baseball level. A team can go 2-0 and be the third worst team out of 20 and they get blown out in bracket play by a 17-seed. Same with Ole Miss. Same with USC. Same with Louisville. No wins that have shown they are Tier 1 level or threats. Sure, for those programs, winning 10 games is great, and I can agree that is great, but being a threat to National Championship caliber teams is not the same on a consistent basis.



Ole Miss - Alabama
2021 - 42-21 - L
2022 - 30-24 - L
2023 - 24-10 - L
I don't consider beating Penn State a landscape altering win. Penn State could easily be on this list that i could point to if they in fact were heavy portal wise.

USC - Utah
2021 - 42-26 - L
2022 - 43-42 - L
2022 - 47-24 - L Pac-12 Championship
2023 - 34-32 - L

Louisville - Clemson
2021 - 30-24 - L
2022 - 31-16 - L
2023 - Did not play
Lost to Duke 23-0, ha ha.
I'm not even going to rehash the ACC Championship game.
But who's going to be in playoff this fall with those records? Ole miss and Lousiville. Conference Championship won't mean shit .. just stay out of certain spot in playoff ranking.... and easy road to championship.
 
But who's going to be in playoff this fall with those records? Ole miss and Lousiville. Conference Championship won't mean shit .. just stay out of certain spot in playoff ranking.... and easy road to championship.

That's only because the target is moving. If we're going on history, we have to go on those parameters. Also, with the SEC getting tougher, only losing two is going to be like losing one used to be and even undefeated in cases like Alabama and Georgia this Fall.
 
An 11-2 record does not mean you're a threat. It's all about matchups and they have always lost games to teams better than them.
An 11 win season, combined with what they've added through the portal, and looking at their matchups this fall? They are a threat: easily could be one of the at-large invitations.
 
Bet you $100 right now.
On what? I can see 11-1; 10-2 is very doable. Who are you chalking up the L's against?

2024 Ole Miss Football Schedule​

Saturday
Apr. 13
Grove Bowl
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
4:00pm ETSECN+/ESPN+
Saturday
Aug. 31
Furman Paladins
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 7
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 14
at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Allegacy Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 21
Georgia Southern Eagles
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 28
23 Kentucky Wildcats
(HC)Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 5
at South Carolina Gamecocks
Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 12
at 12 LSU Tigers
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 19
OFF
Saturday
Oct. 26
14 Oklahoma Sooners
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 2
at Arkansas Razorbacks
D.W.R. Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 9
1 Georgia Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 16
OFF
Saturday
Nov. 23
at Florida Gators
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Time TBA ETTV TBA
EGG BOWL
Saturday
Nov. 30
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Dec. 7
SEC ChampionshipMercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GATime TBA ETABC
 
On what? I can see 11-1; 10-2 is very doable. Who are you chalking up the L's against?

2024 Ole Miss Football Schedule​

Saturday
Apr. 13
Grove Bowl
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
4:00pm ETSECN+/ESPN+
Saturday
Aug. 31
Furman Paladins
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 7
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 14
at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Allegacy Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 21
Georgia Southern Eagles
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 28
23 Kentucky Wildcats
(HC)Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 5
at South Carolina Gamecocks
Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 12
at 12 LSU Tigers
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 19
OFF
Saturday
Oct. 26
14 Oklahoma Sooners
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 2
at Arkansas Razorbacks
D.W.R. Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 9
1 Georgia Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 16
OFF
Saturday
Nov. 23
at Florida Gators
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Time TBA ETTV TBA
EGG BOWL
Saturday
Nov. 30
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Dec. 7
SEC ChampionshipMercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GATime TBA ETABC
Losses to LSU, Oklahoma and Georgia and maybe Florida but who knows about those guys.
 
On what? I can see 11-1; 10-2 is very doable. Who are you chalking up the L's against?

2024 Ole Miss Football Schedule​

Saturday
Apr. 13
Grove Bowl
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
4:00pm ETSECN+/ESPN+
Saturday
Aug. 31
Furman Paladins
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 7
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 14
at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Allegacy Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 21
Georgia Southern Eagles
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Sep. 28
23 Kentucky Wildcats
(HC)Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 5
at South Carolina Gamecocks
Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 12
at 12 LSU Tigers
Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Oct. 19
OFF
Saturday
Oct. 26
14 Oklahoma Sooners
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 2
at Arkansas Razorbacks
D.W.R. Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 9
1 Georgia Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Nov. 16
OFF
Saturday
Nov. 23
at Florida Gators
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Time TBA ETTV TBA
EGG BOWL
Saturday
Nov. 30
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Time TBA ETTV TBA
Saturday
Dec. 7
SEC ChampionshipMercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GATime TBA ETABC

A threat for the National Championship, which was the discussion, so let's say past the first round of the Playoffs.

They lost their best back and have a quarterback you have never been high on if I recall.
 
All three has different QBs this fall.
It is OM even if Kiffin is an upgrade. I know conceptually that should have no bearing on what happens this year but hard for me to believe Kiffen can overcome some of the OM tendencies and his own issues.

I certainly hope historical culture is a real thing for Bama's sake.
 
Nonconference schedule might bite OM if they are a bubble team, it's putrid. I think they lose at least two of their first twelve, there are five-six likely/potential games that they could lose (KY, SC, LSU, OK, GA, FL), at least two get them. Hope springs eternal for football in the State of Mississippi as they are both dodging Bama for the first time in fifty or sixty years, but they have a hard row to hoe.

I've said before that, given Bama's nonconference scheduling, we will never miss the playoffs with two or fewer losses. OM, with their weak nonconference schedule, may prove the opposite.

EDIT: Forgot I'd looked this up already...first time not playing State since 1947, OM since 1987, so 77 and 37 years.


RTR,

Tim
 
Losses to LSU, Oklahoma and Georgia and maybe Florida but who knows about those guys.
In terms of difficulty: UGA, LSU, OU, and then UF.

UF: I don't see Napier lasting another season.
OU: I haven't seen any threat from the Venables staff to date. Their schedule can become brutal, quickly. I can see them starting off 3-0 and I can also see them at the midpoint of the season at 3-3. There's a realistic chance they don't win a game in October.
LSU: A benefit to the Tigers if this is a night game. TX vs OU will have the early game; who gets the afternoon slot on ABC? On the other hand, Lane isn't scared of them or Kelly: neither are the Rebel football team. What is he? Two of three since he's been in Oxford? He's .500, at worst case scenario.
UGA: I don't think they can win this one: stranger things have happened.

Through those lens ... they could get through those with one loss.
 
Not to hijack the thread, but how good is Georgia going to be this year? Their defense should be top tier again. It usually is under Kirby. But they lost a generational talent in Bowers, and an elite receiver in Mconkey. Even with a returning QB, I wonder how they will score points. Last year Bower and Mconkey saved their season on multiple occasions.
 
Did I read somewhere a while ago that incoming freshman Noah Carter would move from DE to TE?
He played both sides of the ball in high school. He's been listed as an ATH and a LB. He's perfect for Wommack's "Bandit." I could see him as the "Wolf," or the "Sting."

When he was officially listed on UW's roster he was an EDGE.
 
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