LSU doesn't have the offense to win the game is my take based on what I've seen from both teams.
But anything could happen.
Here's what I'm thinking about...
There's been much ado about the Ole Miss defense, specifically allowing less than 100 yards per game rushing. With a back-up center, they gave up 168 to Bama and in their opener gave up a little under 150 to Boise State—two power running programs they've faced.
LSU is averaging 220 per, 170 against ranked/SEC opponents. I would put their OL on par with ours IF they're playing together—which they have begun to do.
The LSU defense does have problems in the middle which has led to them having difficulty stopping the run. (Numbers reflect that with the majority of those yards coming from Wisconsin and AU—power running again.) OM, at best, is below average running the ball. Out of the 125 or so team they rank in the high 80's. Against Bama, they managed 76 yards rushing.
We know OM relies HEAVILY on their passing game. That runs directly into what LSU has done well with on defense; pass defense. They're a top five team right now defending the pass.
It all comes down to running the ball and from a casual look at these two teams that seems to favor the Tigers.
Speaking strictly from the spread standpoint:
The public is moving the line a little. For every three that takes Ole Miss, two are taking LSU to cover. What strikes me as noteworthy is the dog has covered 12 out of the last 14 games. IF I play this game, I'm taking the points OM is giving.