Assuming we get healthy - which we should be - our biggest weakness on D appears to be our secondary in nickel and dime situations. That situation seems to be most exposed when we face a very mobile QB (or one playing the game of his life as Mettenberger did) as that mobility buys extra time and that's when we have trouble. If we can keep pressure on their QB, they won't score much at all, because we will shut down the run game, forcing them to beat us through the air. Are their QBs better than Mett, Manz, and/or Murray? I don't think so.
On offense, I respect their front seven, and they are first in scoring defense, but I question if they have played against an offensive line of our calibre. I also think they have no depth. When I look at their schedule, the thing that stands out to me is their struggle against non-ranked teams like Purdue, BYU, Pitt, and even USC (USC sucks this year and they even played without Barkley). Our only close games were against LSU, TAMU, and UGA.
I believe we will be able to successfully run against them as long as we stick with it and keep pounding. They will loosen up eventually. More importantly however I believe we will be able to pass on them at will. Their pass defense is suspect, and they will have trouble with Cooper. Also, I think we deploy the same strategy against Te'o(sp?) as we did against Jarvis Jones in the SECCG and Honey Badger in the NCG - take it straight to him. He makes SOOO many of his plays chasing from the back side or coming down on a side move. Just go right at him. I believe it will work.
ND is one of those momentum teams. They really thrive on "big mo." We need to break their will on defense by shutting them down and frustrating them. They haven't played anybody like us yet, and we've played at least three teams that I think are better than they are - LSU, TAMU, and UGA. If you look at our one common opponent, Michigan, we won 41-14 and they won 13-6. Some will say MI had their RB back by then, but against us, MI had an entire summer to prepare and we were their sole focus because that game was hyped so much. Here are some interesting stats from those games:
First downs
Bama - MI; 20 - 11
ND - MI; 14 - 19
Total Yards
Bama - MI; 431 - 269
ND - MI; 239 - 299
Rushing Yards
Bama - MI; 232 - 69
ND - MI; 94 - 161
Time of Possession
Bama - MI; 31:26 - 28:34
ND - MI; 26:41 - 33:19
Interesting stuff. Michigan had six turnovers against ND and essentially beat themselves. We have had turnover issues our last three big games. We need to clean that part up and we should win by a substantial margin.