Assuming we get healthy - which we should be - our biggest weakness on D appears to be our secondary in nickel and dime situations. That situation seems to be most exposed when we face a very mobile QB (or one playing the game of his life as Mettenberger did) as that mobility buys extra time and that's when we have trouble. If we can keep pressure on their QB, they won't score much at all, because we will shut down the run game, forcing them to beat us through the air. Are their QBs better than Mett, Manz, and/or Murray? I don't think so.
On offense, I respect their front seven, and they are first in scoring defense, but I question if they have played against an offensive line of our calibre. I also think they have no depth. When I look at their schedule, the thing that stands out to me is their struggle against non-ranked teams like Purdue, BYU, Pitt, and even USC (USC sucks this year and they even played without Barkley). Our only close games were against LSU, TAMU, and UGA.
I believe we will be able to successfully run against them as long as we stick with it and keep pounding. They will loosen up eventually. More importantly however I believe we will be able to pass on them at will. Their pass defense is suspect, and they will have trouble with Cooper. Also, I think we deploy the same strategy against Te'o(sp?) as we did against Jarvis Jones in the SECCG and Honey Badger in the NCG - take it straight to him. He makes SOOO many of his plays chasing from the back side or coming down on a side move. Just go right at him. I believe it will work.
ND is one of those momentum teams. They really thrive on "big mo." We need to break their will on defense by shutting them down and frustrating them. They haven't played anybody like us yet, and we've played at least three teams that I think are better than they are - LSU, TAMU, and UGA. If you look at our one common opponent, Michigan, we won 41-14 and they won 13-6. Some will say MI had their RB back by then, but against us, MI had an entire summer to prepare and we were their sole focus because that game was hyped so much. Here are some interesting stats from those games:
First downs
Bama - MI; 20 - 11
ND - MI; 14 - 19
Total Yards
Bama - MI; 431 - 269
ND - MI; 239 - 299
Rushing Yards
Bama - MI; 232 - 69
ND - MI; 94 - 161
Time of Possession
Bama - MI; 31:26 - 28:34
ND - MI; 26:41 - 33:19
Interesting stuff. Michigan had six turnovers against ND and essentially beat themselves. We have had turnover issues our last three big games. We need to clean that part up and we should win by a substantial margin.
If we have success in the running game, it will pull their safeties down in an attempt to help. This will expose their corners and allow for some big plays in the passing game. ND has played deep safeties all season in an attempt to help their corners. Their front 7 has been stout enough in the run to allow it. We just have to pound them relentlessly for 4 quarters like we did UGA.
I will add this about ND shutting down USC's two receivers. They faced a redshirt freshman QB and not the senior QB they expected much like we faced the backup at Arky and not Tyler Wilson. USC didn't have their entire playbook available and they were crippled with a DUMBASS calling the plays!! I respect ND, but you guys are fooling yourselves IF you believe that your defense didn't get bailed out by Lane Kiffin!! Don't get me wrong, I wanted this matchup for history sake!!
If you watched that game you saw that Wittek didn't play like a RSF until their final drive when ND brought pressure and he rushed his throw. One INT was on a deep rout to Lee with single coverage. Also, people forget that even if USC would have scored a TD, they would still trail in the game. How good is ND's defense? The proof is in the pudding. You don't do what they did over the course of a season being avaerage. If you want to use that logic, I can say UG bailed out the Tide with questionable calls at the very end of the SECCG or that the Tides defensive numbers are inflated playing Western Ky, FL Atl and W. Carolina.
There is no doubt ND will have it's hands full trying to stop the Tides running game, but this team has the athletes and speed to compete.
From the Irish perspective.........This will definitely be the toughest game that ND has played in and the best o-line they have faced, but I don't think Stanford's is that far behind and the RB is as good as Bama's. The biggest difference is that Stanford doesn't have the 1-2 punch you have. I agree Bama has more depth overall. ND rotates their front seven, especially the line, so I don't expect them to get as worn down as a lot of people think. I will disagree about our secondary. While the two CB's are young, they are playing very well, especially the last half of the season. They faced arguably the two best receivers in the country against USC and held their own.
I also don't think you can really compare schedules from the end of the year. Each game has to be evaluated at the time it was played. But if you want to compare schedules, then I would say UM didn't beat themselves with 6 TO's, but rather than ND forced those TO's. Go back and watch the game and the pressure they put on Robinson the entire game. Those TO's were forced. Sagarin has ND's scheduled rated 30th while the Tides is 36th. IMO it all boils down to the two o-lines. The one that can control the los will win.
From the Irish perspective.........This will definitely be the toughest game that ND has played in and the best o-line they have faced, but I don't think Stanford's is that far behind and the RB is as good as Bama's. The biggest difference is that Stanford doesn't have the 1-2 punch you have. I agree Bama has more depth overall. ND rotates their front seven, especially the line, so I don't expect them to get as worn down as a lot of people think. I will disagree about our secondary. While the two CB's are young, they are playing very well, especially the last half of the season. They faced arguably the two best receivers in the country against USC and held their own.
I also don't think you can really compare schedules from the end of the year. Each game has to be evaluated at the time it was played. But if you want to compare schedules, then I would say UM didn't beat themselves with 6 TO's, but rather than ND forced those TO's. Go back and watch the game and the pressure they put on Robinson the entire game. Those TO's were forced. Sagarin has ND's scheduled rated 30th while the Tides is 36th. IMO it all boils down to the two o-lines. The one that can control the los will win.
Compare your front 7 to LSU's....barring the two beast LBers you have, LSU has a better front 7 and Alabama held their own against them and again..gashed them in the run game