📡 🏆 CFP Selection Show (and bowls) #1 Bama vs #4 Cincy in the semi's (UM vs UGA)

[Rolltide24]

My Ole Miss buddies thought they had a shot at the Sugar Bowl before that game ended last night. Figured if we lost and lost to UGA, they’d be heading to New Orleans. They were pissed when the Tide squeaked it out. I told them they should have beaten Auburn. Auburn held the keys for both of us and they beat Ole Miss keeping them from the Sugar.

 

[TerryP]

College Football Playoff Rankings

RK	TEAM	REC
1	Georgia	12-0
2	Michigan	11-1
3	Alabama	11-1
4	Cincinnati	12-0
5	Oklahoma State	11-1
6	Notre Dame	11-1
7	Ohio State	10-2
8	Ole Miss	10-2
9	Baylor	10-2
10	Oregon	10-2
11	Michigan State	10-2
12	BYU	10-2
13	Iowa	10-2
14	Oklahoma	10-2
15	Pittsburgh	10-2
16	Wake Forest	10-2
17	Utah	9-3
18	NC State	9-3
19	San Diego State	11-1
20	Clemson	9-3
21	Houston	11-1
22	Arkansas	8-4
23	Kentucky	9-3
24	Louisiana	11-1
25	Texas A&M	8-4

 

[RollllTide!]

@TerryP thanks for that post. Click on any team and you can see their total years statistics. Makes me believe we have more than good chance to beat jawjaw.

 

[RTB X Bot]

 

[bamaledge]

We have to take care of business or at least keep it very close.

 

[mando]

We have to take care of business or at least keep it very close.

My view is win and get in, lose and go home because we would not deserve to be in. Old school maybe but that is how I feel.

 

[bamanc50]

This committee is licking it’s chops to have 4 new teams in the playoffs. Clemson is out so they have only 1 team to deal with and that’s Bama. I don’t think Bama gets in even with a close loss to Georgia unless Michigan, Cincinnati, and Oklahoma St. all lose. Of course, they want ND in there and then fill the other 2 slots with 1 & 2 loss teams

 

[50+yeartidefan]

This committee is licking it’s chops to have 4 new teams in the playoffs. Clemson is out so they have only 1 team to deal with and that’s Bama. I don’t think Bama gets in even with a close loss to Georgia unless Michigan, Cincinnati, and Oklahoma St. all lose. Of course, they want ND in there and then fill the other 2 slots with 1 & 2 loss teams

With loss of HC....takes a point or 2 off ND....
That would be classic...

 

[It Takes Eleven]

My Ole Miss buddies thought they had a shot at the Sugar Bowl before that game ended last night. Figured if we lost and lost to UGA, they’d be heading to New Orleans. They were pissed when the Tide squeaked it out. I told them they should have beaten Auburn. Auburn held the keys for both of us and they beat Ole Miss keeping them from the Sugar.

Alabama winning out would still get them to the Sugar, right?

 

[BamaFan334]

I see no way Bama loses to GA and gets in.

I think if we lose, Oklahoma State loses, AND Cincinnati loses we may make it. All of that is a possibility. I can't see Baylor jumping us with our loss being to a Top 10 Texas A&M and potential loss to #1 Georgia.

That would leave Georgia, Michigan, Notre Dame, and Alabama. Notre Dame is yet again the beneficiary of their name and everyone else losing late. The other three teams I can agree are probably in the Top 4 best teams this year.

 

[It Takes Eleven]

My view is win and get in, lose and go home because we would not deserve to be in. Old school maybe but that is how I feel.

The only way we lose and get in is for it to be close AND have multiple upsets (Okie St., Cincy, Michigan) two of those three. Highly unlikely, but possible.

 

[TerryP]

Highly unlikely, but possible.

Would you say it's more likely this season considering the number of upsets we've already seen among ranked teams?

 

[TerryP]

Another of those "what if's:"

Let's assume we see Bama, Oklahoma State, Michigan, and Cincinnati win. Are we left watching the committee make a decision between Cincy and UGA for the #4 spot?

That would be a spectacle to watch UGA and Cincy supporters debate over that fourth spot.

It's best four teams.

 

[50+yeartidefan]

Another of those "what if's:"

Let's assume we see Bama, Oklahoma State, Michigan, and Cincinnati win. Are we left watching the committee make a decision between Cincy and UGA for the #4 spot?

That would be a spectacle to watch UGA and Cincy supporters debate over that fourth spot.

It's best four teams.

So those 4 win. Those are 4 in? No

Bama @ 1
Michigan @2
Uga @ 3
Cincinnati @4

Oklahoma state n ND out.

Let the expand playoff playoffs debate kick into high gear

5....ok state @Cincinnati
6.....osu @uga

7..,ole ms @ Michigan

8.....nd @ bama

Or some combination without rematches

4 games to watch for sure

 

[TerryP]

Let the expand playoff playoffs debate kick into high gear

If it was 8. Then ok state. ND. Osu. In

That's already been settled this season.

 

[Rolltide24]

Alabama winning out would still get them to the Sugar, right?

It should, yes. They think we’ve already lost this one. They assume we’ll lose but they hope we win. It’s tough for them, they hate Bama.

 

[Justneedme81]

2-loss Alabama CFP chances per ESPN predictor:
MICH, OKST & CIN win: 21%
OKST loses, MICH & CIN win: 37%
CIN loses, MICH & OKST win: 46%
MICH loses, OKST & CIN win: 44%
OKST & MICH L, CIN W: 81%
OKST & CIN L, MICH W: 86%
MICH & CIN L, OKST W: 78%
MICH, CIN & OKST L: 97%

 

[BamaFan334]

2-loss Alabama CFP chances per ESPN predictor:
MICH, OKST & CIN win: 21%
OKST loses, MICH & CIN win: 37%
CIN loses, MICH & OKST win: 46%
MICH loses, OKST & CIN win: 44%
OKST & MICH L, CIN W: 81%
OKST & CIN L, MICH W: 86%
MICH & CIN L, OKST W: 78%
MICH, CIN & OKST L: 97%

See, these three scenarios I can see actually happening. Houston has gotten much much better as the season progressed while Cincinnati has been up and down as of late. Baylor is a strong team that I think looked past Texas Tech a little. I do not think Michigan will have any trouble at all, but we all know Harbaugh can drop a game with the best of the them and Iowa is always a pesky team you can't overlook. I definitely think one of these three loses, but I feel 50/50 that two of them do.


OKST & MICH L, CIN W: 81%
OKST & CIN L, MICH W: 86%
MICH & CIN L, OKST W: 78%

 

[50+yeartidefan]

That's already been settled this season.

Yep. Unfortunately Osu and bama may be out because of it....
But on a neutral site....
I would take either by TD+ On 3 of top 4

 

[It Takes Eleven]

Would you say it's more likely this season considering the number of upsets we've already seen among ranked teams?

No. Each game stands alone, kind of like getting tails on a coin flip five times in a row doesn't make heads the next flip any more or less likely.