Maybe he can, maybe he can't
When you are Tennessee in its current state, you make a Maybe Hire.
Maybe it works out. Maybe it doesnāt. You can have hope, but no certainty. Youāre in no position to lure a surefire, A-list candidate to lead your dilapidated football programānew athletic director Danny White tried that in the past few days, and it didnāt work out. So you keep working down the listāfrom proven to splashy to maybeāuntil you get a yes.
It can be a great job, on paper in the top half of the Southeastern Conference and with the potential to compete for league and national titles. But at the moment it is an iffy job, fraught with peril and clouded by the unknown, with a fan base that could politely be characterized as volatile. That reduces the viable candidate pool to Maybes, and White chose a familiar Maybe.
_________________________
For many Tennessee fans, the Heupel hire is the next step in coming to grips with what the program is. Theyāve ignored a dozen years of evidence that the Vols are just another programāinstead believing in Santa Gruden, and believing that hiring coaches like Greg Schiano and Dave Doeren was beneath them. Fact is, this is a tough sell at present.
James Franklin wasnāt leaving the job security of Penn State for Tennessee, no matter how much money White was rumored to be offering. P.J. Fleck? Please. SMU coach Sonny Dykes isnāt leaving the state of Texas for a struggling program that has to battle Alabama, Georgia and Florida every season. And offensive coordinator Tony Elliott wasnāt going to depart the rock-solid reliability of Clemson for Rocky Top.
_____________________________
Since Phillip Fulmerās last good season, in 2007, this is what Tennessee football has been: a losing program (78ā82 overall, 36ā70 in the SEC, zero East Division titles); a program in constant transition (Heupel is the sixth permanent head coach); and now a program immersed in a self-acknowledged major NCAA investigation that has months (perhaps years) left to unspool.
From ā08 to ā20, the Volsā SEC winning percentage was .339. The only East Division programs lower than that are Kentucky and Vanderbilt. South Carolina (.481) and Missouri (.473 since joining the league in ā12) are well ahead of Tennessee.
The records against the teams the Vols used to battle in the East are frightful: Florida has won 15 of its last 16 against Tennessee; Georgia has won nine of its last 11. And the annual crossover rivalry against Alabama is a recurring nightmareāthe Crimson Tide have won 14 straight. Ever since Bama nose tackle Terrence Cody blocked a last-second field goal for the win in ā09, Lane Kiffinās only season at UT, the fates of the two programs have been drastically divergent.
Alabama is winning national titles. Tennessee leads the nation in dysfunction.