Alabama is a healthy favorite to beat USC, but the Trojans will bring some serious weapons to Texas on Saturday.
Welcome to game week.
Alabama's 113th season of football kicks off Saturday against one of its few peers in terms of tradition. USC has the lore that comes with 11 national championships and seven Heisman Trophy winners.
The No. 20 Trojans just haven't been winning titles in the past decade. They've lost at least four games in each of the last four seasons while working back from under NCAA sanctions. But the program is emerging on the other side of scholarship restrictions and a few years of coaching unrest.
Alabama's a healthy 10-point favorite in the 7 p.m. Saturday game in Arlington, Texas' AT&T Stadium. It's been 15 years since the Crimson Tide lost a season opener. And coming off a fourth national title in seven years with a No. 1 preseason ranking, it's hard not to pick Alabama here.
It just might be more interesting than expected for an Alabama program that hasn't been threatened in an opener since 2009 against Virginia Tech.
Here are a few reasons why:
Offense skill players
USC returns 10 of the 11 offensive starters. One of those two departures is a big one, quarterback Cody Kessler, but it has four of the five linemen and all the top skill players back. That includes two 900-yard rushers (Ronald Jones and Justin Davis) and the top eight pass catchers.
JuJu Smith-Schuster led the Pac-12 in receiving last year with 1,454 yards on 89 catches. With Alabama replacing some key members in the secondary, this isn't insignificant. With All-American hype and a strong supporting cast, the Trojan receivers bring a threat similar to Alabama's receiving corps.
Big bodies
And, if there's a spot where first-game jitters can be an issue, USC won't be breaking in a single new starter on the offensive line. Phil Steele's preseason magazine ranked the Trojans offensive front the top unit in the nation. Tackle Zach Banner is a potential All-American while guard Damien Mama could enter that discussion.
Alabama brings one of the nation's best defensive lines to Texas. It just won't be as deep as last year's group that could be the best in program history. The USC front will have to protect first-year starting quarterback Max Browne, a former national high school player of the year who isn't the most mobile passer.
Secondary
The obvious strength of Alabama's offense will meet the best part of the USC defense. Practically the entire starting secondary is back to face the Tide's deep group of receivers. Cornerback Adoree' Jackson plays both ways while Iman Marshall was a freshman All-American at the other cornerback spot last season.
This USC defense scored five touchdowns last season and helped the team to a No. 11 turnover-margin ranking. That, of course, is a stat Nick Saban follows as closely as any. We're not saying USC's secondary is going to shut down Alabama's receivers, but if the Trojans could pick a unit to bring experience and talent to Texas, it would be right here.
Etc.
-- A lot is made of Lane Kiffin facing his old employer, but it goes both ways. A total of 19 Trojans who played for Kiffin remain on the roster. There's a certain special motivation on that end as well.
-- Alabama has played these season-opening neutral-site games in seven of the past nine years. The nine-point spread is the smallest since meeting Virginia Tech (6 ½ points) to begin the 2009 season in Atlanta. That was also the last time the Tide was threatened to start the season, coming from behind for a 34-24 win in what became an unbeaten season ending with a title.
Why Alabama should still win:
-- Other than the secondary, USC is replacing practically every other defensive starter. And this was a Trojan defense that allowed 400.8 yards a game -- the second most in program history.
-- Not a single defensive line starter returns as new defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast brings a 5-2 scheme back to Los Angeles. It's been clear over the past decade, games like this are won up front. Alabama's got the experience in the offensive line to make this easier for new starters at quarterback and running back.
-- The Trojans looked to be closing the 2015 regular season strong with four straight wins starting with an upset of No. 3 Utah. But it dropped three of the final four games, all to ranked opponents.
-- Alabama's just deeper. There aren't major gaps where it has to replace starters like USC has with its front seven. Every one of the new starters on the Tide defense played at least fairly significant roles last season from Dalvin Tomlinson to Tim Williams and Ronnie Harrison. The only starter coming in without experience is right tackle Jonah Williams, a true freshman from California who grabbed a first-team role in the spring.
-- USC isn't used to being tested this early in the season. Its last four openers were played against Arkansas State, Fresno State and two with Hawaii. The closest win in the group was a 17-pointer over Hawaii.
-- Though experienced, the USC offensive line allowed 2.7 sacks a game last year. That ranked 109th nationally. New quarterback Browne isn't known isn't known for being a scrambler and Alabama led the country with 3.5 sacks a game.
-- This is well down the list, but Alabama knows this environment and ones like it. They beat both Wisconsin and Michigan State in AT&T Stadium last year. USC has played only three games in a dome -- none since 1996.
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