| FTBL Playoff Rankings - Updates & Discussion (With one week left, Bama is ranked at #11)

[bamatommy]

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[Nothing_But_A_Winner00]

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We need a gambling general

 

[TerryP]

FWIW, I was just reminded by someone, and I'll defer to him on this, that the betting odds actually slid heavily into FSU's favor in the overnight hours last year before the CFP reveal show. I distinctly remember ESPN having FSU with 97% odds of getting in the morning of the rankings reval, I still have a screengrab of that somewhere that I look at to brighten up cloudy days. But I remembered wrong on the betting odds apparently.

Late November, early December it was something close to Bama +190 and FSU -140 (give or take a few bucks.)

 

[Brandon Van de Graaff]

 

[Nothing_But_A_Winner00]

Man I get the feeling we are out if SMU loses, can't shake it.

 

[bamafan9201]

Yea, likely out if SMU loses. Sad but likely happens and we're out of the playoffs. Clearly bad schedules are the way to go. 11-1 against bad teams is better than 10-2 or 9-3 with a top 5 schedule. H2H clearly matters which is nice, but true SoS just puts you in a bad place to lose. Time to drop all the Non-conference games that aren't cakewalks.

 

[TerryP]

 

[Brandon Van de Graaff]

 

[TerryP]

That looks like it is starting to take shape and make a little sense. IE: UT would have to go through OSU and UO to get a SEC v SEC final.

 

[24and7]

Damn… Heather Dinnich looks tough tonight

 

[Kamikazi18627]

Yea, likely out if SMU loses. Sad but likely happens and we're out of the playoffs. Clearly bad schedules are the way to go. 11-1 against bad teams is better than 10-2 or 9-3 with a top 5 schedule. H2H clearly matters which is nice, but true SoS just puts you in a bad place to lose. Time to drop all the Non-conference games that aren't cakewalks.

See, I don't know. If clemson beats them by 3 touchdowns, I bet smu drops out completely. I think we are in a good spot. I was afraid we would be 12th.

 

[bamafan9201]

That looks like it is starting to take shape and make a little sense. IE: UT would have to go through OSU and UO to get a SEC v SEC final.

If this somehow holds, Bama would have a solid path to the playoffs but I just don't see SMU taking down Clemson.

 

[TerryP]

Based on Action's Power rankings:​ PSU would be a two score favorite.​ OSU around a TD​ ND by two, maybe three​ UGA by more than a score.​

 

[Justneedme81]

Now you see why I've been saying to root for SMU

 

[bamafan9201]

See, I don't know. If clemson beats them by 3 touchdowns, I bet smu drops out completely. I think we are in a good spot. I was afraid we would be 12th.

I would hope they don't completely punish teams for Conference Championship losses, they will likely count for less than regular season losses. There's almost 90% chance that SMU would stay ahead of us in rankings or you'd have people eliminating conference championship games.

 

[24and7]

If SMU loses to Clemson give them another Death Penalty..

 

[TerryP]

If this somehow holds, Bama would have a solid path to the playoffs but I just don't see SMU taking down Clemson.

Why? Clemson has lost to every decent team they've played this season. Statistically, in the ACC, it points to a pretty even matchup (with SMU leading Clemson in most defensive categories.)

 

[BamaFan334]

See, I don't know. If clemson beats them by 3 touchdowns, I bet smu drops out completely. I think we are in a good spot. I was afraid we would be 12th.

I agree. SMU is out if they lose hy more than 17 points in my mind. Easy schedule and couldn't get up for their biggest game of the year? Yeah, I think they may get pushed out if they get smacked.

Of course I felt Ohio State should have dropped further. Miami fell six spots and Ohio State who lost to a worse team only dropped four and still ahead of Tennessee?

 

[TerryP]

BCS where we had about a half of a dozen computers deciding rankings ... the computers gave Bama the benefit of the doubt.

 

[alabama mike]

Maybe you can explain this comment? CKD is the head man so does he not set the tone?

He is the head man but does not spend time working with individual players on a day to day basis. The assistant coaches do and that’s why I made the comment I did. I also blame the players bc they are the ones out on the field performing or not performing. CKD will make changes with his staff and we will see some players leave. He will also bring in players by the transfer portal and his incoming class is rated #1 or #2. I fully believe ( may be wrong) that he is the man for the job.