| FTBL Playoff Rankings - Updates & Discussion (With one week left, Bama is ranked at #11)

[94 Grad]

Man I get the feeling we are out if SMU loses, can't shake it.

Yea, likely out if SMU loses. Sad but likely happens and we're out of the playoffs. Clearly bad schedules are the way to go. 11-1 against bad teams is better than 10-2 or 9-3 with a top 5 schedule. H2H clearly matters which is nice, but true SoS just puts you in a bad place to lose. Time to drop all the Non-conference games that aren't cakewalks.

This just makes no sense. SMU is ranked poorly with one loss. With two losses they aren’t magically going to be ranked highly among the two loss teams. There are currently only 3 teams ahead of UA with 2 losses… uGA, tOSU, uT. I don’t see the committee saying smu will be in that grade of teams with a loss to #17 Clemson.

Essentially, the ACC game is a play in game. Winner is in, loser is out.

 

[Slickmullet]

This just makes no sense. SMU is ranked poorly with one loss. With two losses they aren’t magically going to be ranked highly among the two loss teams. There are currently only 3 teams ahead of UA with 2 losses… uGA, tOSU, uT. I don’t see the committee saying smu will be in that grade of teams with a loss to #17 Clemson.

Essentially, the ACC game is a play in game. Winner is in, loser is out.

And at that point Bama is in correct?

 

[94 Grad]

And at that point Bama is in correct?

That would be my prediction

 

[50+yeartidefan]

This just makes no sense. SMU is ranked poorly with one loss. With two losses they aren’t magically going to be ranked highly among the two loss teams. There are currently only 3 teams ahead of UA with 2 losses… uGA, tOSU, uT. I don’t see the committee saying smu will be in that grade of teams with a loss to #17 Clemson.

Essentially, the ACC game is a play in game. Winner is in, loser is out.

2 loss vs 3 loss.

Wonder if last year getting bama in over undefeated fsu will factor in... even sub-mentality to some committee members

Oh that Oklahoma fiasco.

 

[TerryP]

The question continues to be asked even though it's been answered repeatedly.

Okay. If you don't believe in the way we see this breaking down...

MSN

 

[It Takes Eleven]

A 12 team playoff with automatic bid for select conference champs is no different than basketball (someone may get in even if poorly ranked); HOWEVER, the similarity ends because in basketball they would be seeded appropriately, not getting a BYE.

 

[TerryP]

2 loss vs 3 loss.

Wonder if last year getting bama in over undefeated fsu will factor in... even sub-mentality to some committee members

Oh that Oklahoma fiasco.

You realize you are pointing to OU and not the whole body of work. And yet, you're making a comment about FSU where their whole body of work was considered.

 

[94 Grad]

2 loss vs 3 loss.

Wonder if last year getting bama in over undefeated fsu will factor in... even sub-mentality to some committee members

Oh that Oklahoma fiasco.

3 loss Alabama is currently ranked ahead of almost every 2 loss team, sans uGA, uT and OSU.... so are you saying a 2 loss SMU would be in that caliber of team in the committee's mind? Currently they are not since all three of those 2 loss teams are ranked ahead of 1 loss SMU... They have zero wins vs any ranked teams and you're thinking another loss to a 17th ranked team would keep them in the playoffs?

SMU's currently poor ranking as a one loss teams shows me the committee agrees with my thinking and they are not going to be a highly ranked 2 loss team. If they do lose, I would expect SMU to be in the 15-17 ranking if not even worse for the final ranking system.

 

[BamaFan615]

It will be close if Clemson were to beat SMU, but I think 94 brings up a good point with the caliber of 2 loss teams currently ranked ahead of Bama.

SMU’s best win would be Bama’s 5th best win. A 7 point win @ Louisville.

We have two bad losses, no doubt, but that many more quality wins has to carry weight.

SMU’s 2nd best win…tough to find one. Probably TCU. After that it all .500ish teams.

 

[Rsedge72]

So we need SMU to win or get blasted off the field right?

Indiana needs to go. That’s ridiculous.

Needs smu to win. That keeps Clemson out. That way theirs is no chance of hoping they drop smu below bama…..

 

[Rsedge72]

If all the higher ranked teams win, there’ll be no movement. So bama would be in for sure

 

[TerryP]

If all the higher ranked teams win, there’ll be no movement. So bama would be in for sure

Rankings, and seedings for the bracket? I can see some shifts. Look at the top half of that bracket; three of the four teams are ranked higher than the team with the bye week.

 

[Rsedge72]

Yeah but if thing hold “pat” bamas in. Now if Clemson beats smu, there’s a chance smu stays ahead of bama. Slim or not it’s still a possibility. Now in a crazy situation (although highly unlikely) Boise st loses to unlv, then we’ll still need to wait out the committee’s decision there also. The rest of the championship games don’t really matter, because all those teams involved are in no matter what.

 

[Rsedge72]

With the exception of the big 12.

 

[TerryP]

Yeah but if thing hold “pat” bamas in.

It's a matter of against whom, it's not an if situation. The SEC will have four teams in the playoff.

If they somehow don't, all hell will break loose and the collegiate football world knows. Specifically, the committee in this case.

 

[Rolltide24]

Yeah I wouldn’t call Boise a lock to win. They’ve had some close games and barely beat UNLV when they played during the season. They were losing going into the 4th quarter.

 

[We All Bleed Crimson]

If Bama stays in AND ug beats Texas, they will make sure Bama goes to Texas or uga. my opinion.

 

[JoseyWalesTheOutlaw]

It's a matter of against whom, it's not an if situation. The SEC will have four teams in the playoff.

If they somehow don't, all hell will break loose and the collegiate football world knows. Specifically, the committee in this case.

SEC is getting 4 in the Show.

 

[Rsedge72]

 

[BamaFan334]

I'm curious if I even want us to play Notre Dame the first game. they have been playing really well. I understand not against great competition, but they have quietly been smoking teams.