U-Ute said:
Big_Fan said:
Without going into lengthy breakdowns (I will save that for the Trickle Down Bowl Prediction), this is what I see in a nutshell when I look at Utah.
On offense, I see a simpler version of Florida's spread - minus the incredible talent and overwhelming speed...and Tebow. Given that we just played Florida in our previous game, and we practiced and prepared for Florida, I do not see Utah being scary on offense.
Fair enough.
(snip)
U-Ute
Drivel? So Utah has a 240# QB that runs a 4.5/40 and won the Heisman? Better alert the NFL scouts because Brian Johnson is projected as an undrafted free agent. By comparison, John Parker Wilson is projecting 4th round.
Your DL may well have handled larger OL before, but has NEVER faced an OL with 5 future NFL players and two first team All-Americans. They don't hand those things out to just anyone. I don't doubt a blown assignment or two resulting in a TFL, but that will happen a lot less than Coffee off left Tackle for 10+.
USAF is a one dimension option team, and your speed beat them to the boundary. We will punish you up the middle. Big difference.
I have compared your entire three deep to Florida's three deep, and I cannot find more than three possible situations where a Utah player would make the rotation. Florida is absolutely loaded with future NFL players. Utah's recruiting classes average in the mid 60's nationally and . Your system works well against defenses who have not seen it...we have seen it.
Utah's passing defense is RANKED 40th. Reading comprehension is a good thing...I said "PASSING DEFENSE," not TOTAL DEFENSE.
Utah will bring in a defense that is statistically the 5th best defense we have faced...and that was formed against bad offenses. Two defenses ranked above Utah found themselves in 20+ point holes at half-time. One other got worn out in the second half. Florida is the other - and we moved the ball pretty well on them, we just got Tebowed in the fourth. Comparing Utah's defense to those we have played - regardless of stats, I would say that they are probably the 8th or 9th best defense we have played.
I suspect that we will end up with close to 500 yards of offense (250/250). Utah will have 250ish...175/75.
Utah does not have a single player projected to be a top 100 draft pick. The best players on the team are Sean Smith and Sakoda, and Smith does rate as a player who should enter the draft this year. You have an offensive guard that is decent, but will probably be an unsigned free agent.
Darrell Mack is rated the 25th best RB coming out - we have played 5 rated higher (and shut them all down).
I don't see the talent level being what it would have to be in order to keep this game competitive for 4 quarters. I don't think you will have success sustaining drives, and I think our offense will grind your defense into dog-food.