There are people that don't think Meyer would leave but I see him bailing. Mainly because I think Meyer is a big-time egomaniac and needs to be the savior of Notre Dame. Meyer is pretty much king in Florida, but he'd be devine in South Bend with all of the little domers catering to his every whim. Tebow is leaving, and expectations at Florida might be reaching a point where Meyer knows he can't produce at the same level and keep people happy. I see this as Meyer's time to jump, and I think he will. I suspect a lot will depend on his wife though. That might be the only thing that keeps him in Florida.
What's going to drive you people crazy though is this; The media hypocrisy that is going to follow. mark it down now. No one will say a word about it, atleast not on ESPN. If he continually lies and then ends up taking the Notre Dame job they'll praise his high character and play the whole "dream job/he's catholic" card to no end. The only thing keeping it from being a perfect storm for Notre Dame is that Tebow the wonder child won't be going with him. Can you only imagine!?
EDIT::
Sorry, but I should have also added that if Meyer doesn't take the job, it's going to be Kelly from Cinci. That's the popular name out there right now other than Meyer. There are people saying that "according to what they know or have heard from sources" Kelly is the man. Take that FWIW though.