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Fasten your seatbelts: Ole Miss trainwreck ahead on Rebel Railway





Friends, SEC fans, countrymen, lend me your ears; I come not to bury Ole Miss, but to praise it.

You can't help but like the Rebels. They are the SEC's lovable little fuzzball. Houston Nutt is a wonderful fellow who has a nice coaching resume. He was run out of Arkansas and immediately welcomed like a king in Oxford.

But enough of the Disney movie. Let's return to regularly scheduled programming.
Ole Miss fans had better be wearing seat belts. They better have the sash over their shoulders. They better make sure the frontal air bags are in working order. Why? Because this Ole Miss train is about to run off the track. The biggest crowd in Oxford this year won't be drinking and carrying on at the Grove before the Alabama game. It will be later in the season as fans gather to rubberneck the Ole Miss trainwreck.

I really feel sorry for the Ole Miss faithful. They're in for a fall (see Georgia last year). They are college football's trendy pick. You've seen the preseason magazines. Most have the Rebels in the top 10. The Sporting News has them as high as No. 5. Tim Brando, the CBS college football studio host and eagle-eyed SEC observer, has Ole Miss at No. 3.

Ole Miss head football coach Houston Nutt: He's a 'wonderful fellow' but his team's headed for a letdown this season. Why? Because they're Ole Miss and you can't get to Atlanta from Oxford.

But there is a major problem for the Rebels and their quest to take on Florida in the SEC Championship Game. You can't get to Atlanta from Oxford. It's not going to happen.

Why not? Because they're Ole Miss.

I know this sounds pedestrian and prosaic. However, miracles don't happen very often in college football and I don't see one happening this time around.

Ole Miss tradition can be summed up in one family -- the Mannings. Take Archie and Eli out of the equation and the school barely has a Hall of Fame.

Since the '60s, Ole Miss hasn't been No. 1 in anything except throwing whiskey bottles. And unlike fans of some other schools, Ole Miss faithful don't even put up an argument. Oh, except for the most famous saying you hear around the Grove before, during and after a game: "We may not win every game, but we've never lost a party."

Nice. But it hardly rivals fans beating their chest and boasting of 12 national championships.

There is a reason for the Ole Miss hype this year. It starts with the senior quarterback. And the schedule is great. Well, actually, it's pathetic.

There are some sorority powder-puff teams with a tougher non-conference slate than the Rebels: Memphis, USL, UAB and Northern Arizona. Are you kidding me? Do you think Northern Arizona will even bring a band? Cheerleaders? Do their players go both ways? The best players combined from those four couldn't hang with Vandy for a half.

The conference schedule worked out great with Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee and LSU all at home. The toughest road games are at South Carolina (Thursday night) and Auburn.

When your toughest road game in 2009 is at Auburn, you've got an easy schedule.

In fairness, Ole Miss went to the Swamp last year and won -- a big reason so much hype has come the Rebels' way. I think Ole Miss might even beat Alabama in Oxford this year. It will be billed as the Game of the Century.

But the reality is Ole Miss has a history of choking and this year will be no exception. They'll blow a game or two that keeps them home watching the SEC title game. Last year, Ole Miss lost to Vanderbilt and South Carolina at home. Vandy was before the Florida game. South Carolina came the week following. Typical Ole Miss.

Have you ever seen the book: "Greatest Moments in Ole Miss Football History" at the bookstore? No, and there's a reason. They've only had two. When Archie Manning signed his letter of intent and when Eli followed suit 32 years later.

In fairness, Ole Miss used to play big boy football - winning national titles and all that jazz. Of course, this was before the color barrier was shattered in the SEC in the late '60s.

Do you think it's a coincidence that a school whose nickname is the Rebels hasn't won a league title since blacks started playing in the SEC? The last league title was 1963.

Even former coach Tommy Tuberville said the Confederate flag waving at games hurt his recruitment of black players. The school finally dumped its mascot "Johnny Reb" in 2003. Some school faithful are still in mourning. Just like they will be when this season is over.

If you're looking for sure money, don't fly to Vegas. Bet against the Ole Miss Rebels. It's been the surest thing in college football for the past 45 years.
 
I love Finebaum's podcast. He's the ultimate troll, but he's light-years ahead of anything Utah has to offer in terms of sports talk radio, and he's better than Cowherd or Patrick.

As for the article, Ole Miss will be good this year, but even with that schedule, I see them going 10-2 and finishing behind Bama and LSU in the West.
 
I love Finebaum's podcast. He's the ultimate troll, but he's light-years ahead of anything Utah has to offer in terms of sports talk radio, and he's better than Cowherd or Patrick.

As for the article, Ole Miss will be good this year, but even with that schedule, I see them going 10-2 and finishing behind Bama and LSU in the West.

I check out his show occasionally via their Internet stream. But, I do pick and choose the times due to what's in the headlines.

Considering the passion that football is to those in the southeast, it's easy to "tweek" a fan base with just a few words. He's a master at it.

A lot don't like him, but still tune in. Personally, I respect what he's accomplished. He's very respected nationwide in the industry.

As to Ole Miss...second or third in the West is how I see them finishing depending on how their game goes against LSU. Both teams I see finishing, at best, at 9-3.
 
I check out his show occasionally via their Internet stream. But, I do pick and choose the times due to what's in the headlines.

Considering the passion that football is to those in the southeast, it's easy to "tweek" a fan base with just a few words. He's a master at it.

A lot don't like him, but still tune in. Personally, I respect what he's accomplished. He's very respected nationwide in the industry.

As to Ole Miss...second or third in the West is how I see them finishing depending on how their game goes against LSU. Both teams I see finishing, at best, at 9-3.

Winner of Bama-LSU-Ole Miss round robin will go to Atlanta. Of course, I have it as Bama. I have Bama at 12-0 (my brain will not allow my right hand to type an "L" beside a Bama game), Ole Miss at 11-1, and LSU at 9-3. If Ole Miss loses a second game, I believe you will see it in Columbia.
 
Something that sticks out to me in this article is what Brando said.


I remember when Michigan beat us in the Orange Bowl after winning the SEC back in 99. Brando, in his usual loud and obnoxious way said that Bama will play for the MNC after the 2000 season. Bank on it. We all know the 3-8 debacle that followed.

I'm not saying that Ole Miss will go 3-9. Far from it, but as several have stated on here before. Ole Miss is Ole Miss and HDN has a penchant for consistently underachieving. We shall see.
 
Winner of Bama-LSU-Ole Miss round robin will go to Atlanta. Of course, I have it as Bama. I have Bama at 12-0 (my brain will not allow my right hand to type an "L" beside a Bama game), Ole Miss at 11-1, and LSU at 9-3. If Ole Miss loses a second game, I believe you will see it in Columbia.


I like the way this is dividing itself up.

You and I see differently on UGA, and slightly differently on Ole Miss.

I too see the game in Columbia as a possible hiccup. With their secondary, if Mallett is having a good day that might be an interesting game as well. But, at best I see Ole Miss at 9-3.

My round-robin event...that I'm covering right now in the pre-season capsules—UT, UK and Vandy.

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:shock: One of the few moments Lenny K. and I see eye to eye on something. :lol:
 
In years past, when Nutt was at Arkansas, it seemed to me that he did best when not much was expected and not so well when they were getting a lot of attention.
 
In years past, when Nutt was at Arkansas, it seemed to me that he did best when not much was expected and not so well when they were getting a lot of attention.

IF we use Arkansas as an example on what Ole Miss will do this year, they'll end up 3-5 or 4-4 this season in SEC play.

Nut was one game over .500 for his career in Fayetteville.

If I was given the choice, I'd take a job at Arkansas before Ole Miss. Personally, I think it's a better football school.
 
4-4 or 5-3 in SEC play for Ole Miss would not shock me. The same cast of characters that beat Florida in the swamp found ways to lose to South Carolina and Vanderbilt at home. I'm not yet sold that they can successfully replace Oher and Peria.
 
I like the way this is dividing itself up.

You and I see differently on UGA, and slightly differently on Ole Miss.

I too see the game in Columbia as a possible hiccup. With their secondary, if Mallett is having a good day that might be an interesting game as well. But, at best I see Ole Miss at 9-3.

My round-robin event...that I'm covering right now in the pre-season capsules—UT, UK and Vandy.

----

:shock: One of the few moments Lenny K. and I see eye to eye on something. :lol:

I've been reading Phil Steele too much. I tend, as he does, to put too much emphasis on schedule and returning starters with an added emphasis on the QB position.
 
I've been reading Phil Steele too much. I tend, as he does, to put too much emphasis on schedule and returning starters with an added emphasis on the QB position.


I rely on stats, believe you me. One Arkansas guy I talk to all the time calls me the "stat man" because I can pull those numbers up off the top of my head.

However, a lot of what I say on prognostications is going with gut.

UT, they've got a chance—slim—of making some waves with their OL...

Can't wait 'til football season.
 
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