We all know Bama's last NC was 1992. Starting the next year in 1993 with a "hand grenade/horseshoe close to 10 wins" 9-3-1 season, and despite all the problems since then, Bama has had a 10 win season every third year. No reason to expect that to stop this year because Bama could very well mirror Coach Saban's second year at LSU. In 2001, LSU went 10-3, losing to 2 East teams (ut and UF), one West team (UM), and beating ut in the SECCG. In this his second year at Bama, I can see Bama losing to 2 East teams (UGA and ut), one West team (UM), and beating UGA in the SECCG.
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/scores/LouisianaState.htm
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/scores/LouisianaState.htm