@It Takes Eleven one of the issues with the models that come out about the weather here. There is something weird about how the reservoir affects the weather. It's akin to Moses parting the sea.
Two of my best friends live about three miles from me. On the other side of the reservoir. They get, and I'm not kidding here, twice as much rain as I do. The line of demarcation seems to be the reservoir.
Based on what
I see on the radar, and in the sky, and the rain gauge...I'm going to get no more than a quarter of an inch per hour. But, for how long. .15" from 11-12 today.