🏀 🏀 #2 Alabama at Texas 🏀 - Alabama Cruises Past Texas, 103-80

[Brandon Van de Graaff]

Oats from today...

 

[TerryP]

He mentions how the team is a little banged up after UArk.

Last week I caught they weren't planning on returning to Tuscaloosa after Saturday's game. By the looks of the background in the video, he's in a meeting room in a hotel. (EDIT: He just said it...listening and typing will get ya.)

Since TX was on the road (loss) maybe they'll catch a break and the "rest" factor will be a wash between the two.

 

[#80]

Analytics give the Tide 54% chance of winning and early odds have Bama -5.

 

[TerryP]

Analytics give the Tide 54% chance of winning and early odds have Bama -5.

Close game, sure. I don't know where they get the number: it doesn't click with the analytics. (UArk's win over UK was another that I didn't get.)
I thought it was noteworthy that Oats mentioned how banged up the team was yesterday and it didn't take long for the line to drop. KenPom has Bama winning by two with the bookmakers adding a half of a point (-2.5, TL 165.5.)

Here's where my "analytics" don't match with what I'm seeing projected. Texas has played 16 games in the Q1, Q2, and Q3 quadrants. They are 7-9 in those games with only one game where they exceeded 80 points in a win: LSU (80th in the NET.) They did put up 82 on Auburn in a WEIRD game back in early January. (IE: TX had ZERO assists in the first half and only one three pointer.)

I hope they got the physical rest needed. I tend to believe, with the Super Bowl Sunday night and these guys getting the chance to hang out—away from campus—gets them the mental rest needed.

 

[alabama mike]

We will have our hands full if we do play more physical defensively under the boards against UTw. Philon needs to make a few shoots to get his confidence back. Nelson and Omuri have to box out and rebound. Stevenson is another player that needs to produce more consistently. Sears has mental lapses at times with the ball with his turnovers. I am hoping the young men are well rested and play with intensity and fire.

 

[Bammerboy321]

 

[RTB X Bot]

–I’m betting Alabama’s Team Total ‘over’ 84.5 points tonight at Texas. Alabama leads the nation in scoring with its 90.0 points-per-game average. KenPom has the Crimson Tide ranked third nationally in offensive efficiency, second in two-point shooting percentage (60.7%), sixth in pace and 20th in offensive rebounding percentage. Nate Oats’s team has scored at least 85 points in nine of its last 11 games and in 16 of its 23 contests.

As of late this morning, most spots had Alabama -4. However, DraftKings was at -3.5 and Caesars had the Tide at -3. I like ‘Bama IF you can get -3 (whether that’s with a live bet or you can get down at Caesars or if the line moves down later today).

Alabama is on a six-game winning streak, winning all six games by at least four points. The Tide owns a 9-3 ATS record in its last 12 games despite being a double-digit favorite in eight of those contests. Oats’s squad has won seven road games in a row and each victory has been by at least four points, including wins at UNC, at Texas A&M, at South Carolina (by 22), at Kentucky, at Mississippi St. and at Arkansas.

 

[Bammerboy321]

Got to match Texas' physicality. We match that, it'll be a blowout

 

[rick4bama]

Will I miss any of the game? Because this game with Tenn and Kent. getting close!

 

[Bammerboy321]

Geez already two turnovers

 

[Bammerboy321]

Here we go. Poor D

 

[Bammerboy321]

Jesus christ. Three turnovers

 

[Bammerboy321]

Three turnovers in the first two and a half minutes

 

[Bammerboy321]

Good shot by Stevenson

 

[Bammerboy321]

FOUR TURNOVERS ALREADY

 

[bamanc50]

Three turnovers in the first two and a half minutes

As fast as they play going to have TO’s. HC is going to have to slow them down if he wants less TO’s.

 

[mando]

Need more energy and definetly need to protect the ball but that is wash rinse and repeat at this point.

 

[Bammerboy321]

Sears!!

 

[EasyTider]

8 Turnovers and counting

 

[Bammerboy321]

Turnover. Turnover. Turnover. Turnover. Turnover.