šŸˆ GAME THREAD Auburn vs Alabama -- CBS TV @ 2:30CT -- Bama -24.5 -- Injury Updates as of Mon 11/19

Auburn has the unique distinction of being the only team to hand Alabama a loss in the last 20 months, so the Tigers aren’t really fazed by the one rather large number heading into this weekend’s Iron Bowl — 24.

That could have been written as the only team in the last 34 months...
 
ā€œI mean, that’s just opinion,ā€ linebacker Deshaun Davis said. ā€œThat’s opinion. It’s opinion-based. At the end of the day, they have to go out and play the game, and we have to go out and play the game. The underdog doesn’t really matter. If we’re picked to win, it doesn’t really matter. There’s some games that a lot of people have been picked to win this season, and they’ve lost.ā€

Auburn would know. The Tigers are among those teams, having lost three games — LSU, Mississippi State and Tennessee — in which they entered as the favorites. Still, the Tigers acknowledge their backs are against the wall going into a matchup on the road against their rivals, who happen to be the most dominant team in the country this season, the defending national champions and winners of 24 of their last 25 games.
 
Wow, a lot of post in this thread that tells me we are all nervous about playing Allbarn, a team that has a down year. If you are a diehard fan like me you don't look at the stats as much as you look at the history. The history is one that says you throw away the stats and understand that this is a bunch of 19 to 22 year old kids playing a rivalry game. We do expect the unexpected results. Only this year the stats tell us that our perseverance will prevail and stomp the dog $hit out of the barn. It is just too much BAMA in us to expect a different result. We as fans have the passion. What is important is, does our team have the passion to make them quit?
 
The history is one that says you throw away the stats and understand that this is a bunch of 19 to 22 year old kids playing a rivalry game. We do expect the unexpected results.
History says the opposite. You'll find the vast majority of the time the favored team wins. In a case like this year the record is 24-1 (or something close) when we've got a top 5 team playing an unranked team. Vegas doesn't get the number right all of the time, but very few upsets in this series. Very, very few.
 
Vegas doesn't get the number right all of the time, but very few upsets in this series. Very, very few.

Most of the "upsets" are two ranked teams within 5-10 spots playing each other. Is it really much of an upset when number 7 beats number 3? What about when 17 beats 13?
About every three or four years someone will put together a piece covering the upsets in this game. Off the top of my head I want to call it 1 out of 8+. I can't recall the exact numbers.

Upsetting wins aren't always upsets (to your point.) 2013 is a good example when AU was ranked #4 coming into the game. I realize people will look at the '17 contest and see #1 vs #6 and think "upset." Was it really? It wasn't shocking to me due to knowing Bama had six of their linebackers out of the game.


Still it is a rivalry game. You can be a braveheart all the way, but I will be somewhat nervous until we stomp the barnyard out of them.

I'm no Wallace Wade now--not "bravehearting" a thing here. It's a matter of team A vs team B and the latter isn't in the same ball park as team A.

In terms of "betting/wagering" when you have a team that's favored by 20+ points their winning percentage--note, not actually covering, but winning--is WAY up there.

If there was ever a sure bet, UA -2750 is one.
 


Here are some things to watch during the final week of the Southeastern Conference football regular season: GAME OF THE WEEK Auburn at No. 1 Alabama (No. 1 College Football Playoff): The Iron Bowl looks lopsided on paper this season, with the Tide picked as a 24+-point favorite at home. But it's

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