💰 SPRTSBK 2025-26: RIVALRY WEEK: Games open Tuesday night-

I saw, think it might have been an ESPN notification on my phone yesterday, that two UTurd RBs are out for this game. Wonder if that line is moving yet.
Their two main backs both spoke with the media yesterday: Thomas and Bishop.

The line opened at 7, dropped almost four points in the first few hours.
 
@TerryP I want to place a bet on this game with the bookie? @252BAMA I see were you make a bet but how you get the line up?
Member bets. You just have to put in the information. It's all set up the same way. In Pick 'Em, you have to enter the pool. Here, you have to "Create Bet." I don't know how to make it easier.

Member Bets > Create Bet > Title > Bet > Close (kick off time) > Wager > and then whom (either open bet or with a member. He entered "The Bookie" after clicking on the option.)

Use the prefixes and click on Sportsbook ... read the reminder thread. It's lain out there as well.


 
The only one I'm seeing is the one I made.
It's the only one made.

All I'm saying is when people make a bet with The Bookie be sure to make a note of it in this thread. It'll help me make sure I don't miss something as we get closer to the weekends. That account was created so someone would get the money that's lost each week: the bank, so to speak. I don't log in very often under that account: only when necessary.
 

Week 3 of college football season is here, and the board is spicy. Lines are shifting, narratives are forming, and a few teams are still getting priced like their old selves.

I've circled my spots, run the numbers, and this week's card has a mix of edges I feel good about -- the kind where matchup meets value. Week 3 feels like college football's version of speed dating because some teams look amazing at home, others look lost on the road, FCS opponents are muddying the waters, and we're still figuring out who's the real deal and who's just catfishing us.

No spoilers yet, but let's just say a couple of teams are about to get tested, and I'm betting the market hasn't caught up.


No. 12 Clemson vs Georgia Tech

Bet to make: Georgia Tech +3.5

The market is still pricing 2022 Clemson instead of what we've seen on the field. It's early. I know. However, I have doubts.

Clemson has struggled to find rhythm offensively. Cade Klubnik has talent -- I thought Heisman talent -- but this group is outside the top 90 in offensive efficiency and is converting just 31% of third downs. That's like trying to win a chess match when you keep losing your queen early.

The biggest mismatch here is explosiveness. Georgia Tech is top 30 in both passing and rushing EPA, while Clemson sits outside the top 80 in both. The mismatch matters because the Yellow Jackets don't need 12 plays to find the end zone, while Clemson often does. In a game projected to be tight, the team that can create quick-strike touchdowns or flip field position in one play has the edge, and right now that's Georgia Tech.

Through two games, GT's rushing offense has been one of the most efficient in the country. It ranks second in rushing yards, averaging over seven yards per carry, with four different players already ripping off runs of 27 yards or longer, including quarterback Haynes King.

That rushing strength will be tested, and King's injury status is something to keep an eye on, but he is expected to play. He's a quarterback who forces you to defend every blade of grass.

I look back to late last season and think of this as it déjà vu for Clemson's defense. They saw this exact movie last season with South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers (166 rushing yards). King has a very similar skill set, except GT's overall offense is more explosive.

Grab the points. The Yellow Jackets have the sting to pull off the upset.


Dante Moore has completed 77.3% of his passes and tossed six touchdown passes in his first two starts as Oregon's QB. Robin Alam/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images

No. 4 Oregon vs Northwestern

Bet to make: Oregon -27.5 and Northwestern UNDER 10.5

Oregon is beating up on opponents they're supposed to, winning by a combined score of 128-16 while averaging 10.2 yards per play. The offense has been balanced and explosive, led by Dante Moore's efficiency and a backfield that's averaging 8.4 yards per carry.

Now they face a Northwestern defense ranked 122nd in EPA per rush allowed, the same group Tulane gashed for 269 rushing yards in Week 1. This sets up as a trench mismatch, and Oregon has the speed and depth to exploit it.

Northwestern's secondary is solid, but that was against Western Illinois, and even still, Oregon's run game is the hammer and Northwestern's front is the nail. The Ducks also are second in yards gained, meaning they are finishing drives at an elite rate. This is one of those matchups where Oregon can control the script, lean on their ground game and force Northwestern to play catch-up with an offense that lacks any weapons to contend.

Betting against this Oregon offense right now (against soft opponents) feels risky. Now, both of the Ducks games were at home, but I see this unit translating on the road, too, in the right context. I'm not at all ready to call them championship ready, but beating up on the little guys? Yes.

Also worth considering: Northwestern team total UNDER 9.5 points (+105)

Oregon's defense has allowed only two red zone trips. The Wildcats are averaging only 4.5 yards per pass with five turnovers in two games. Oregon's defense isn't flashy, but it forces long drives and eliminates explosive plays, allowing just three gains of 20+ yards so far.

Northwestern will need to string together 10-play drives against a top defense that collapses early downs and limits red-zone access. The Ducks might clip the Wildcats' whiskers and leave Evanston with a shutout.
 
Miami -17.5
This is a just sayin' ...

Before you jump on the USF bandwagon, you might want to look at their scoring drives this season. Add 'em all up, grab the average yards per scoring drive. Points per drive point to field goals: it's less than three. In adjusted offensive efficiency through two games? They rank 80th out of 136.

51st in defensive efficiency if you're curious.
 
I hadn't thought about this until seeing this post on X.

With UF dropping its game last week, partly if not largely attributed to their own "spit gate," let's look back ...

The shoe-throw.

 
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