🏈 Thinking about bowl projections: The Chick-Fil-A may be a mess with a UofSC vs Clemson rematch...

TerryP

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A few things would have to fall into place, but they are entirely likely.

A wrench would be Clemson getting an at-large bid to the BCS bowl games. A loss to UofSC this weekend takes them out of that picture.

The Chick-Fil-A gets the #2 ACC team. Right now that's Clemson and the next team falls to the likes of a NC State team at 7-5 to end the season.

BCSNC- winner of SECCG.
Sugar- probably the loser of the SECCG.
Cap One gets the next pick.
Cotton then Outback from the West and the East respectively.

In that mix we've got these teams due to their success this season: Bama, UGA, UF, LSU, and A&M.

Assuming we win the SECCG that would put UGA in the Sugar due to the head to head against UF.

UF to Cap One is likely, but since both LSU and A&M are within one game of those two they will be in the picture.

The Cotton Bowl WILL want A&M. No doubt.

So, that leaves LSU or UF to the Cap One, the other to the Outback.

No one can catch UofSC except a Miss. State team...and frankly, the Chick-Fil-A folks aren't going to choose MSU over UofSC for one reason alone; ticket sales.

So, here we are left with the CFA bowl looking at the next team in the selection order and that would be UofSC. The second place ACC team? Clemson.
 
The Sugar Bowl could get interesting as well...Florida, LSU, loser of SECCG, TAMU - thinking its gonna be Florida due to 1 SEC loss.

We could be watching Stanford vs UCLA two weeks in a row as well - this would be awesome :) I'm tired of seeing the Pac-10 ruled by 2 teams - Oregon/USC - speaks to how back their conf has been.
 
But wait...if UF some how wins against FSU, they are in the Sugar Bowl right? Wouldn't that push Georgia to the Chick-Fil-A? I'm just going off of what happened in 2010 really

No, that's not a given by any means. The Sugar will have an at large invite which will likely be an SEC team. It'll be the loser of the SECCG more than likely, but UF could get in. UF losing to UGA should give UGA a leg up especially with winning the east as well.

IF UF goes, it would likely send UGA to the Cap One if a West team doesn't get the invite.

The Cap One gets the SEC runner up unless there is a team within one game of the runner up...if so, they have a choice. So, that brings any two loss SEC team in the picture.

UofSC losing to LSU and UF along with not winning their division puts them on the outside looking in...likely ATL.

Remember, here's the order.

BCS
Sugar
Cap One
Cotton and Outback from West and East.
Chick-Fil-A
 
If ND loses to USC and Florida beats FSU, does that put Florida in the Sugar bowl or would that give them enough bump to get ahead of one loss K State or Oregon for the BCS NC game?
 
If ND loses to USC and Florida beats FSU, does that put Florida in the Sugar bowl or would that give them enough bump to get ahead of one loss K State or Oregon for the BCS NC game?
There's no way to know at this point.

It'll be easier to guess when we break down how the points are being dispersed in the polls.
 
If ND loses to USC and Florida beats FSU, does that put Florida in the Sugar bowl or would that give them enough bump to get ahead of one loss K State or Oregon for the BCS NC game?

Considering the tank that Kansas State took in the Coaches poll, I think they are done. Out. Finished. They're more than likely headed to the Fiesta and OU to the Cotton.

Oregon? Here's where it gets crazy.

UF is sitting on one loss and that's to a top five team at a neutral location. They have in the bank three wins against top 10 teams. They were four spots above Oregon in the computer polls and with the loss to USC that will likely increase.

Bama is sitting where LSU did in 2007 seeing the two top ten teams lose and having to win the SECCG to get in the BCSNC. Florida is practically sitting in shoes we've worn.
 
If ND loses to USC and Florida beats FSU, does that put Florida in the Sugar bowl or would that give them enough bump to get ahead of one loss K State or Oregon for the BCS NC game?

Florida is already the #1 SEC team in the computers. In your scenario, they would most assuredly be the #2 ranked BCS team after the CCG's and would play the SECCG winner in the BCSNCG.

The possibility of a rematch of one of the worst games of the year (UGA-UF) in the BCSNCG is laughable.
 
I agree. If Florida adds another win this week over a top 10 team, there's no way they have a lower rank than Georgia (if Georgia loses the SECCG). They are right on their heels as it is and Georgia would have 1 more loss and not near as many wins over top 10's. I say they getthe #2 BCS bid if UGA loses the SECCG.

Florida is already the #1 SEC team in the computers. In your scenario, they would most assuredly be the #2 ranked BCS team after the CCG's and would play the SECCG winner in the BCSNCG.

The possibility of a rematch of one of the worst games of the year (UGA-UF) in the BCSNCG is laughable.
 
I agree. If Florida adds another win this week over a top 10 team, there's no way they have a lower rank than Georgia (if Georgia loses the SECCG). They are right on their heels as it is and Georgia would have 1 more loss and not near as many wins over top 10's. I say they getthe #2 BCS bid if UGA loses the SECCG.

It's probably all moot anyway because neither USC nor UF have much chance of winning this week. BUT, if they did, UF would be ranked #2, and would stay there regardless of what UGA does in the SECCG. That is my whole point. Two terrible teams on the day they played could wind up being rematched in the BCSNCG. Bama must save the CFB world from that.
 
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