As a prelude, even if they're aren't in the top four come Tuesday night, I'm still reserving judgment on the playoff committee until their final ranking in December.
That said:
There's something I want to point to for a second before going any further. Just this past week the head of the committee, Jeff Long, said the following:
Looking at Mississippi State we could say they are most deserving because they've played four top ten teams and won three. We can also use the same premise and say they are one of the best four teams.
The fact Oregon lost to an unranked team with the Bulldogs losing to a top five teams gives them an edge over the Ducks.
Ohio State, with its loss to an unranked 5-5 Va Tech team, but when we add in the winsāas a comparison to MSUāthere are two: one against a top ten, one against a top 25. Not only does MSU have more wins against ranked teams, but higher ranked teams on top of that.
Baylor carries the same resume as Ohio State.
I'm left with this opinion with Bama included in the top four.
FSU deserves to be in the #1 slot due to one thing; there are no losses on their 2014 schedule. (Yes, they've not looked great in some games, but they've found a way to win.)
We're left with a handful of teams, all with one loss, for those last two spots; Oregon, TCU, Baylor, and Mississippi State. I've made my case for MSU. I'm left with this question.
Does Oregon, Baylor or TCU get that fourth spot?
(It's my opinion, if MSU is left out of this weeks top four, they'll play their fifth team ranked in the top ten when they close the regular season against Ole Missāassuming Ole Miss wins against Arkansasāand a win there gives them a 4-1 record against top ten opponents. They should be in.)
That said:
There's something I want to point to for a second before going any further. Just this past week the head of the committee, Jeff Long, said the following:
"For the third consecutive week, the committee looked at the overall body of work, their strength of schedule, and looked at the number of top 25 wins," committee chairman Jeff Long said. "TCU has two top 25 wins and Baylor has one. And TCU's loss is a top-10 loss. When you put all those factors together, we still think at this time TCU has a better rƩsumƩ and was voted that way ahead of Baylor. "
Remember, TCU was ranked in the top four this past week. I had no issue with that ranking because their resume was better than the #5 team; better than Baylor as well.
Looking at Mississippi State we could say they are most deserving because they've played four top ten teams and won three. We can also use the same premise and say they are one of the best four teams.
The fact Oregon lost to an unranked team with the Bulldogs losing to a top five teams gives them an edge over the Ducks.
Ohio State, with its loss to an unranked 5-5 Va Tech team, but when we add in the winsāas a comparison to MSUāthere are two: one against a top ten, one against a top 25. Not only does MSU have more wins against ranked teams, but higher ranked teams on top of that.
Baylor carries the same resume as Ohio State.
I'm left with this opinion with Bama included in the top four.
FSU deserves to be in the #1 slot due to one thing; there are no losses on their 2014 schedule. (Yes, they've not looked great in some games, but they've found a way to win.)
We're left with a handful of teams, all with one loss, for those last two spots; Oregon, TCU, Baylor, and Mississippi State. I've made my case for MSU. I'm left with this question.
Does Oregon, Baylor or TCU get that fourth spot?
(It's my opinion, if MSU is left out of this weeks top four, they'll play their fifth team ranked in the top ten when they close the regular season against Ole Missāassuming Ole Miss wins against Arkansasāand a win there gives them a 4-1 record against top ten opponents. They should be in.)