🏈 Stock Market Indicator-Phil Steele

[252BAMA]

Here is a Phil Steele blog that everyone can get their arms around. The Bear Market portion of his Stock Market Indicator.

"Here is the complete list of teams that show a bear market for 2014 including last year’s SEC Champs Auburn who come in with a -6.5 Stock Market report."

2014's Bear Market Teams​

[xtable=bcenter|cellpadding:0|cellspacing:0]
{colgroup}
{col=112x@}{/col}{col=75x@}{/col}
{/colgroup}
{tbody}
{tr}
{td=112x13}Team{/td}
{td=75x@}Stock Market Number{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Auburn{/td}
{td}-6.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Duke{/td}
{td}-5.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Missouri{/td}
{td}-5.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Tulane{/td}
{td}-5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}UNLV{/td}
{td}-5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Buffalo{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Colorado St{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Fresno St{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}North Texas{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Rice{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}UCF{/td}
{td}-4.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Akron{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Boston College{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Florida Atlantic{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Marshall{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Maryland{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Michigan St{/td}
{td}-4{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Bowling Green{/td}
{td}-3.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}East Carolina{/td}
{td}-3.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Florida St{/td}
{td}-3.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Minnesota{/td}
{td}-3.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Ole Miss{/td}
{td}-3.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Arizona St{/td}
{td}-3{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Louisville{/td}
{td}-3{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Middle Tennessee{/td}
{td}-3{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Ohio St{/td}
{td}-3{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Ball St{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Indiana{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Iowa{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Miami, Fl{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Navy{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}UCLA{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Washington St{/td}
{td}-2.5{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Arizona{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Baylor{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Colorado{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}South Alabama{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Troy{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{tr}
{td=@x13}Washington{/td}
{td}-2{/td}
{/tr}
{/tbody}
[/xtable]

http://www.philsteele.com/Blogs/2014/JUNE14/DBJune27.html

 

[TerryP]

That's a bit of an intense read. It's not so much "getting your arms around it," @252BAMA ,as it is wrapping your mind around what he's saying.

For those who want to know what he sees based on this formula and Alabama.

Bama is listed as +1.5.

"Overall, of the teams since 1990 that had a +1.5 Stock Market Indicator or higher: 442 improved their record, 186 had a weaker record and 64 had the same record meaning 73.1% of the time, teams in that category improved or had the same record."

In other words, there's a 73% chance Bama has a one loss season again, or improves its record.

_-- Anyone happened to notice what's being said about Ole Miss? :naughtydevil:

 

[jlabit]

I see Florida State is -3.5. I hope there is some accuracy in his computations.