BISHOP | Trip to Tuscaloosa a barometer for how far WKU football has come
BISHOP | Trip to Tuscaloosa a barometer for how far WKU football has come
There is something in college football I like to refer to as the immeasurables.
Now, I like analytics. I read a lot about them. I trust in them to allow me to be steered in an educated direction as to whom may win a specific contest or a particular conference or what matchups to watch for inside a game.
But college football, perhaps more than any other sport, relies heavily on effort, energy, passion, camaraderie and want-to. Teams that have those variables often pass what we like to refer to as the eye test – a mysterious measuring stick, but one you know when you see it, like, “those guys can really play some ball.”
This brings us, in the most roundabout of ways, to Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers had a lot of those aforementioned characteristics in 2015 – their first truly great season in their young Football Bowl Subdivision history.
They've also now won 18 of 20 and lost just three times since Oct. 25, 2014. They've been playing high-level football for quite some time.
But… but. With all of WKU’s recent, relative success, there are still some steps to climb, dragons to slay, heights to reach.
And boy is there a major one waiting Saturday.
The Tops get No. 1 Alabama this weekend. The Crimson Tide are in the midst of what history may view as one of the greatest runs in college football history. Nick Saban’s program is the epitome of championship football.
Where does Western Kentucky stack up?
Certainly this WKU program is not the same as it was just a short time ago, when games of this circumstance made fans jokingly say, “I hope no one gets hurt” or “let’s just take the paycheck and get the hell out of there.” I’m not implying the Hilltoppers of old didn’t expect to win those type of games – but they probably knew in their heart of hearts the odds were slim.
And I’m not sure that’s the case anymore.
The Hilltoppers have an opportunity Saturday to prove they have made great strides as a program – they've seized some similar opportunities with wins against Kentucky and Vanderbilt, but perhaps have failed to do so consistently enough with defeats to Illinois and Indiana and Tennessee and Louisiana State.
It may not show in the outcome Saturday, but it could – nay, should – show during the 60 minutes inside Bryant-Denny Stadium. Is WKU ready to take that next step as a program and go play-for-play against mighty Alabama?
How will a veteran offensive line with a future NFL player on the left side stand up to a ferocious defensive front? How will a future NFL receiver get around lock-down cornerbacks? Can Western’s defense play out of their minds against a bull-dozing Alabama attack?
How will Jeff Brohm and staff match wits with the Great Saban?
And when all is said and done and the sun begins to set in Tuscaloosa, will you be able to say, “Yeah, Western Kentucky can step on the field with anyone, any time, anywhere.” Or, will a lopsided loss leave WKU feeling a sense of longing to one day be considered among college football’s elite?
The answer will be clear Saturday night – and it won’t be in the box score or even on the scoreboard. It will be in the immeasurables.
Predictions sure to be wrong
So after all that let’s get down to the nitty-gritty.
Alabama, at the time of writing this, is favored by 27 points over the Tops. That may surprise some given the fact that the Tide whipped Southern California 52-6 on Saturday (thus the oddsmakers are forecasting WKU to give Alabama a better game than USC did).
The crux of the discussion is that perhaps USC is not all that good. Perhaps Rice (WKU’s sacrificial lamb in Week One) isn’t all that good, either.
You also have to wonder if, by human nature, despite Saturday being UA’s home opener, an emotional letdown is in store for the Tide – no matter how many times their head coach tells them they’re no good.
I’m going to roll the dice here and call for the Brohm Squad to keep it within those 27 points in a 38-17 loss.
Louisville at Syracuse
Folks, I’m going to be on the Louisville train for most of this season – until it gives me reason to think otherwise.
A trip to Syracuse – where the Orange survived a scare from Colgate last week – doesn’t appear to be much of a road block for the Fightin’ Petrinos.
Favored by 14 1/2, I’m taking Louisville to roll 41-10.
Kentucky at Florida
The sky is falling in Lexington and all hope is gone, of course.
How convenient it is to forget Southern Mississippi played in a conference championship game last year and won six of its final eight games. All that matters now – another nonconference loss at home for Kentucky only mounts the pressure and angst of a increasingly frustrated fanbase.
May I be the first to remind you the season is long and full of opportunities for retribution. The Wildcats have more than enough time to right the ship and build momentum toward that bowl game.
On Saturday, a trip to Gainesville, Fla., where UK has not won since 1979, awaits. It’s awfully difficult to make a case for the Wildcats to win against a team it has lost 29 straight to, but know that UF needed 14 fourth quarter points to pull away from Massachusetts last week.
No way the Gators win by the 16 1/2 they’re favored by right? Right? Florida 20, Kentucky 14.
Record to date: 3-0! Championship season baby!
Quote of the week
Western Kentucky senior wide receiver Nicholas Norris on playing No. 1 Alabama: “We’re trying to come out the same way. It’s the same type of game. I don’t look at it as a different game, it’s just another game for us. We don’t wanna make things bigger than it is.”