💰 SPRTSBK Week 12's picks against the spread, totals, and to win have been posted in the Sportsbook.

[the Bookie]

And a few are going for broke this weekend!! @pignjig17 with a LARGE wager on Ole Miss to win ... 1.8mm to win over 2mm. Good luck!

Get your picks in soon, folks!

Sportsbook

 

[TerryP]

AU giving Liberty -28.5 caught my eye. That seems like an odd number to me at first glance.

In the meantime...here's one of the UGA writers throwing shade at Auburn...

 

[252BAMA]

Look at Navy's last 3 games if you want to know how to play Cincinnati-UCF.

 

[TerryP]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

 

[252BAMA]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

Navy's last 3 games:
@Notre Dame 22-44
@Cincinnati 0-42
@UCF 24-35

 

[rick4bama]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

Navy's last 3 games:
@Notre Dame 22-44
@Cincinnati 0-42
@UCF 24-35

I thinking about these two game with Navy, Cinn. beat the 42-0 while UCF beat the 35-24.

 

[TerryP]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

Navy's last 3 games:
@Notre Dame 22-44
@Cincinnati 0-42
@UCF 24-35

ND seems the outlier of the group. I'm not sure what you were pointing to there.

 

[252BAMA]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

Navy's last 3 games:
@Notre Dame 22-44
@Cincinnati 0-42
@UCF 24-35

ND seems the outlier of the group. I'm not sure what you were pointing to there.

Just comparing the results of the three. All three are on the road. Of the three, Navy did much much better with ND and UCF, than with Cincinnati. I suppose I could have made the point by just looking at the last two games, but I thought including the ND result emphasized the point.

 

[252BAMA]

@252BAMA, I'm not getting your connection with Navy vs Notre Dame. S&P+ projects this to be big for UCF (based on current numbers it's a three TD win.) Sagarin isn't as big, but it's still a three score win for UCF.

That big a differential in rankings and production = walk away...no, "run away, run away."

What is Sagarin based on? He has UCF at #23 and Cincinnati at #43. Where is the three score diff?

NCAAF Sagarin - NCAAF Football - USA TODAY

 

[TerryP]

What is Sagarin based on? He has Cincinnati at #30 and UCF at #77(lol).

It's not as accurate as S&P + in my opinion, but after 1/2 of a season it gets better. For lack of a better way to put it it's a chess rating system applied to football: skill level vs. skill level based on each game in a season... that's one of the reasons I don't pay much attention to it the first month.

It tends to be very accurate when projecting point spreads.

 

[252BAMA]

What is Sagarin based on? He has Cincinnati at #30 and UCF at #77(lol).

It's not as accurate as S&P + in my opinion, but after 1/2 of a season it gets better. For lack of a better way to put it it's a chess rating system applied to football: skill level vs. skill level based on each game in a season... that's one of the reasons I don't pay much attention to it the first month.

It tends to be very accurate when projecting point spreads.

I had an old link. You answered before I could edit. I see his explanation now. Thanks!

 

[252BAMA]

What is Sagarin based on? He has Cincinnati at #30 and UCF at #77(lol).

It's not as accurate as S&P + in my opinion, but after 1/2 of a season it gets better. For lack of a better way to put it it's a chess rating system applied to football: skill level vs. skill level based on each game in a season... that's one of the reasons I don't pay much attention to it the first month.

It tends to be very accurate when projecting point spreads.

Found this site that simulates games. They have UCF winning 29-24.

https://www.compughterratings.com/CFB/simulations/Central Florida-vs-Cincinnati

 

[rick4bama]

It showing the Bama game with Bama winning! 73-0!

 

[TerryP]

@252BAMA, the line doesn't make sense... And that's why I'm avoiding it

 

[252BAMA]

@252BAMA, the line doesn't make sense... And that's why I'm avoiding it

I should have because of the officiating. Cincinnati will have to beat both. Temple beat the crap out of UCF but couldn't beat the refs. AAC will do as much as possible without getting egg all over their face to keep UCF in that New Years Six mix. BTW and FWIW, Temple is/was Cincinnati's lone loss.

 

[TerryP]

BTW and FWIW, Temple is/was Cincinnati's lone loss.

I know. There's a lot of 'data points' with this game that are as interwoven as a girls' pony tail.

 

[TerryP]