🏈 GAME THREAD 🏆 Alabama vs Auburn 🏆 Saturday, CBS TV @ 2:30pm CST

In the keys to the game ...

In AU's best wins this season they've racked up over 200 yards rushing (A&M and Oregon.) If there is a "stat" that bears mentioning, I'll submit that one as one of the most important.
 


No. 5 Alabama (-3.5) at No. 15 Auburn: One of my major principles during rivalry week is to go heavy on underdogs, and my initial instincts had me looking at Auburn and the points here. But I can't do it. I know this sounds silly and superstitious, but if Tua Tagovailoa were healthy, I'd be all over Auburn. It feels like too many people have just written off Alabama as a great team because he isn't. There are too many people now expecting Auburn to win and knock Alabama out of the College Football Playoff race, making life on the selection committee simpler.

Life seldom works that way. As good as Tagovailoa is, it's not like he wasn't surrounded by a wealth of talent on the Alabama offense. Sure, Mac Jones might not be Tua, but he still has a bunch of future NFL wide receivers at his disposal. He's also playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the country, one that is better equipped to deal with (not stop!) the Auburn defensive line than most other teams. Then there's the simple fact that I trust Jones in this spot more than I do Bo Nix. We've seen plenty of Nix in games like this, and he just hasn't been good. He was able to complete 60% of his passes against Georgia a couple of weeks ago but averaged only 4.9 yards per attempt. I don't see Auburn winning this game by dinking and dunking down the field. They're going to need big plays I'm not sure Nix can provide. Alabama 27, Auburn 17
 
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