🏈 Time to look back on predictions for 2015

[TheChief]

This guy predicted Auburn to make the playoff and Baylor to win the national championship. What's funny is that he predicted Bama to play in the Peach Bowl... versus Clemson.

Russo: College football 2015 predictions put Auburn in semifinals, Alabama in Peach Bowl

 

[EasyTider]

I just tweeted him.

 

[Crimson&WhiteGecko]

HEY, at least he got the right team that 'Bama is playing...

 

[sean]

and he got the osu/nd game correct.

man, this guy is a straight up genius. :eyeroll:

 

[Che Boludo]

Peach > Birmingham Bowl

 

[bcracker]

Kanell's preseason picks for this year's playoff:

1. Ohio State
2. Baylor
3. UCLA
4. Georgia

Russillo and Kanell make College Football Playoff picks on ESPN Radio

 

[alabama mike]

Wonder what teams Cowherd picked?

 

[TheChief]

Kanell's preseason picks for this year's playoff:

1. Ohio State
2. Baylor
3. UCLA
4. Georgia

Russillo and Kanell make College Football Playoff picks on ESPN Radio

If you don't get a single team right, you really should look for another line of work.

 

[BigCrimson]

Shows you what a bunch of "experts" they really are. I could walk into a nursery school and get kids to pick as good.

 

[planomateo]

If you don't get a single team right, you really should look for another line of work.

You'd think they had a government job...

 

[TheChief]

Kanell's preseason picks for this year's playoff:

1. Ohio State
2. Baylor
3. UCLA
4. Georgia

Russillo and Kanell make College Football Playoff picks on ESPN Radio

You know, playing the odds I'd at least pick teams that historically ranked in the top four. UCLA hasn't finished in the top four since 1955!!! Georgia it's been almost a decade. Baylor? Who the heck knows. Not good odds for getting all four, that's for sure.

 

[im4uainva]

If I were as bad at my job as these 'experts' were in their predictions...well...I wouldn't have a job.
Better to remain silent and be thought a fool...etc.

Roll Tide! Beat Clemson!

 

[rick4bama]

Yes I could do better that Kanell's picks. It a wonder he didn't have F$U as in his top 4. He already is and ACC guy picking barener by the lake.

 

[TerryP]

College Football Playoff picks: Most ESPN experts like Buckeyes to repeat

If you don't get a single team right, you really should look for another line of work.

Call me an outlier here, or devil's advocate, what ever. I do think there's something that needs to be weighed in here.

When these guys were making picks, it wasn't so much a case of them picking who they thought would be the best four in the nation. A lot of their picks were based on who they saw being able to maneuver their schedule the easiest and find "grace" in the eyes of the committee.

Just as one example, few had Bama in the final four because they saw the teams in the back-half of the schedule. A lot assumed Bama would face eight, nine teams in the top 25/30. Very few saw Bama recording a 9-1 record versus those teams in the top 30. (Sagarin rankings.)

 

[TheChief]

College Football Playoff picks: Most ESPN experts like Buckeyes to repeat



Call me an outlier here, or devil's advocate, what ever. I do think there's something that needs to be weighed in here.

When these guys were making picks, it wasn't so much a case of them picking who they thought would be the best four in the nation. A lot of their picks were based on who they saw being able to maneuver their schedule the easiest and find "grace" in the eyes of the committee.

Just as one example, few had Bama in the final four because they saw the teams in the back-half of the schedule. A lot assumed Bama would face eight, nine teams in the top 25/30. Very few saw Bama recording a 9-1 record versus those teams in the top 30. (Sagarin rankings.)

Yet the "expert" got it wrong. The "expert"I referenced missed EVERY SINGLE TEAM.

If a doctor thinks an operation is the best procedure and you die, you're still dead. Doesn't matter the cause. Doesn't matter the line of reasoning. You are D-E-A-D. These folks ought to have their prognostication license pulled.

How many times did we hear this year "The SEC Champion will have two losses this year"? People miss their guesses.

 

[Bammerboy321]

The barn was the "safe pick" preseason. Muschamp and Gus were the best HC-DC combo in the nation, Lance Thompson had the insight on Alabama, Lawson was back, and Jeremy Johnson would win the Heisman.

Good ol' barner logic

 

[TerryP]

Yet the "expert" got it wrong. The "expert"I referenced missed EVERY SINGLE TEAM.

If a doctor thinks an operation is the best procedure and you die, you're still dead. Doesn't matter the cause. Doesn't matter the line of reasoning. You are D-E-A-D. These folks ought to have their prognostication license pulled.

How many times did we hear this year "The SEC Champion will have two losses this year"? People miss their guesses.

"The SEC Champion could have two losses this year." I heard that. I said that. In fact, I said it wouldn't surprise me in the least for the SEC Championship game to have two teams with a combined five losses.

Without a fluke play with Arkansas, we'd be looking at a which two teams playing in ATL? And, how many losses would they have had combined? One game off since it was a combined four losses going into that first weekend in ATL. One game.

Now, I've heard Kanell referenced as an analyst; I can't recall expert but hyperbolic titles of commentators comes with the territory. Still, point remains, these guesses on which teams would end up in the finals were largely based on how easy it would be for them to maneuver their schedule. It wasn't "this should be the best team in the land," though an argument it should be has its merits.

As to DK's picks ... UCLA is an outlier. I thought that was odd, but Kanell as a QB would look at Rosen and think "compete for title." The chances of the Bruins winning the PAC weren't far fetched.

UCLA hasn't finished in the top four since 1955!!!

Might want to look at 1965

 

[TheChief]

"The SEC Champion could have two losses this year." I heard that. I said that. In fact, I said it wouldn't surprise me in the least for the SEC Championship game to have two teams with a combined five losses.

Without a fluke play with Arkansas, we'd be looking at a which two teams playing in ATL? And, how many losses would they have had combined? One game off since it was a combined four losses going into that first weekend in ATL. One game.

Now, I've heard Kanell referenced as an analyst; I can't recall expert but hyperbolic titles of commentators comes with the territory. Still, point remains, these guesses on which teams would end up in the finals were largely based on how easy it would be for them to maneuver their schedule. It wasn't "this should be the best team in the land," though an argument it should be has its merits.

As to DK's picks ... UCLA is an outlier. I thought that was odd, but Kanell as a QB would look at Rosen and think "compete for title." The chances of the Bruins winning the PAC weren't far fetched.



Might want to look at 1965

Number 4 in AP and Wiki says #5 in coach's (I'm thinking that was the UPI?). They finished 8-2-1. I stand corrected. It's only been 50 years.

The Bruins finished 8-5 this season and started a freshman at quarterback. I'd call that a pretty lousy pick to be in the playoff. But, that's just me.

 

[planomateo]

Without a fluke play with Arkansas, we'd be looking at a which two teams playing in ATL?

One good fluke play deserves another...

Glad it worked in our favor months later.

 

[TerryP]

I'd call that a pretty lousy pick to be in the playoff. But, that's just me

In hindsight, it is a lousy pick. In the pre-season, the game most pointed to was Stanford as their most probable loss (Cardinal at 5-4 last season) but they also thought UCLA would be coming out of the PAC South.

People point to Phil Steele as being one of the best in terms of ranking teams, right? His choices on his preseason power poll fit a lot of these guesses made.

1. Ohio St
2. TCU
3. Alabama
4. USC
5. Baylor
6. Oregon
7. Georgia
8. Stanford
9. Florida St
10. LSU
11. Michigan St
12. UCLA
13. Notre Dame
14. Auburn
15. Mississippi
16. Oklahoma
17. Wisconsin
18. Arkansas
19. Tennessee
20. Virginia Tech
21. Utah
22. Clemson
23. Oklahoma St
24. Georgia Tech
25. Miami, Fl

One good fluke play deserves another...

Glad it worked in our favor months later.

Hear, hear.