I'm going to be the odd man out, here.
24-13 OU
I'm sorry, but the guys just don't seem like they want it bad enough. That abysmal showing in the SECCG was proof enough for me. But if more is needed... They beat a sub-par AU team by only 1 score. They beat a falling USCe team by only 1 score. They barely beat a mediocre Mizzou team by 3 points. And they opened the season with another abysmal game against FSU, who wound up having the same record as AU, 5-7.
Playing like that is NOT going to get it done in the CFP. And if they manage to make it past OU, Indiana is going to light them up.
I hope I'm wrong about all of it and BAMA runs the table from here on out. I really do. But I'm trying to be realistic and not look through crimson-colored glasses.