The prognosticators aren't even giving us much of a chance. They are saying it could be as ugly as a Tuberville-Shula Iron Bowl. I don't know about all that. Unless we just shit the bed and regress big time, I don't see us losing this one. It'll probably be an uglier win than we would like,but a win nonetheless. Barring us fucking the dog big time
I've seen a few articles with the story line running "they aren't going to blow them out" but haven't seen any that doubts Bama's chances. I'd love to read one if you remember where you saw those.
The barn held LSU to 23 pts in Baton Rogue I'm concerned about this one. I think we will be fortunate to win.
"...in Baton Rouge" is a good point because it's a bit of an anomaly. LSU also put up a lot of yards on that defense in Baton Rouge but came away empty handed a few times. The onus was on them as well. d
<just a whimsical thought>
Ya know, we don't hear "Auburn held Florida to 24 points" or "Auburn held A&M to 20." Those two managed around 400 yards on offense. There's is a noteworthy key here though.
UGA, UF, and A&M were all held to 10 points below their season average. MSU was held five below their average PPG, Ole Miss seven. To me that makes the LSU game an outlier for difference in the point scored.
I see it as a safe bet Auburn will hold Bama to ten below their average. Going by what we've seen from the books, a Tua-less Bama is giving five fewer points. Just for conversations sake, let's call it 17. That leaves Bama putting up 31. I don't see Auburn matching that number.
(While the game was in Tuscaloosa and Bama did have Tua at QB I think last years game is something to consider here as well. This Auburn defense in 2019 is about the same as the one we saw last season. It can be scored on.)