Will Patrick Surtain Jr. sign with LSU? National Signing Day prediction
Five-star cornerback Patrick Surtain Jr. is set to announce his decision on National Signing Day on Wednesday, with LSU and Alabama in a dogfight for the nation's top cornerback prospect.
LSU held a lead for nearly the entirety of Surtain's recruitment, prior to a late surge by Alabama, with his official visit to Tuscaloosa giving the Crimson Tide an opportunity to close the gap last month. Like LSU, Alabama has a major need at cornerback, and the opportunity to be coached by Nick Saban, who specializes in defensive backs, would be appealing to the talented prospect.
But LSU is able to counter with defensive backs coach Corey Raymond, who built a strong bond with the Surtains during the recruiting process. As the emotion of his official visit to Alabama subsided, LSU was able to re-establish itself as the leader for his services.
The closer:
Raymond has been vital in LSU's recruitment of Surtain, and the desire to play for him is simply too much for the 6-foot-2, 190-pounder to pass up. As Alabama continued to press Surtain, Raymond stayed the course, remained open and honest in his message, and gave him the space he needed to not feel pressured, which worked in LSU's favor.
Raymond elected to let Surtain visit Alabama without the persistent phone calls and text that recruits often receive during a time like that. The two were back on the line together that following Monday, with Raymond reiterating his message -- this is where you want and need to be. The Tigers sent numerous coaches to south Florida to meet with the Surtains in the following weeks, in hopes of reigniting that passion about LSU football that the five-star had since he first put on pads.
Confidence from LSU's side remained high throughout the entire process, despite Alabama's efforts. Raymond has shown the ability to close out the recruitment of defensive backs during his tenure at LSU, landing the vast majority of prospects he is chasing at this stage of the process.
Confidence level: 75 percent
Look, there is no such thing as a certainty in recruiting. When talking to sources on all three sides, the consensus is that LSU leads, but the fight is not over. But experience tells me that the team chasing usually has to become the established leader prior to the start of the NCAA dead period, which is already underway, and the Crimson Tide does not appear to be in that position.