💰 SPRTSBK 💰 WEEK EIGHT is open in the Sportsbook: Several ranked teams, including top ten teams, are "dogs" this weekend.

Sagarin has the Clemson and Pitt almost dead even which would give Pitt just under a three point edge with HFA. FEI favors Clemson slightly (on defensive efficiency.)

Connelly's SP+ doesn't see it that way.

 
Sagarin has the Clemson and Pitt almost dead even which would give Pitt just under a three point edge with HFA. FEI favors Clemson slightly (on defensive efficiency.)

Connelly's SP+ doesn't see it that way.


Interesting how close he is projected the Bama/Vile game 35-21. Do not like it but probably realistic.
 
For those watching Coastal and App State, all of the fantastic stats being given on Coastal were accomplished against the Citadel, Kansas, Buffalo, UMass, La-Monroe, and Ark State. LMAO!
 
Suppose I'll just have to watch the Thursday night games for fun. None are in the Sportsbook.

Or watch the Braves although they do better without me. I was watching CCU-ASU, of course, last night.
 
It's not uncommon to see lines differ from rankings; AP, Coaches, and power rankings. However, this weekend is quite unique.

Out of the top 25 there are four games where a ranked team is a dog. An underdog to an unranked team. Some of this I can see but it doesn't take away from the 'shock' value.

Look at Oregon (#10) getting points playing unranked UCLA. That's just odd, but on the "understandable" side look at what Oregon has been doing when they've been on the road. In '20 and now '21 they're likely right at .500.

Not to be outdone, Okie State is ranked at #8 and their road game at Iowa State. 'Books have the home team as a touchdown favorite. In all fairness ISU did get the "Others Receiving Votes" nod in the latest rankings.

Purdue came in at #25 this week. They are a home dog to Wisconsin. 👀

San Diego State (#22) is on the road at Air Force (-3½.) 🤷‍♂️
 
It's not uncommon to see lines differ from rankings; AP, Coaches, and power rankings. However, this weekend is quite unique.

Out of the top 25 there are four games where a ranked team is a dog. An underdog to an unranked team. Some of this I can see but it doesn't take away from the 'shock' value.

Look at Oregon (#10) getting points playing unranked UCLA. That's just odd, but on the "understandable" side look at what Oregon has been doing when they've been on the road. In '20 and now '21 they're likely right at .500.

Not to be outdone, Okie State is ranked at #8 and their road game at Iowa State. 'Books have the home team as a touchdown favorite. In all fairness ISU did get the "Others Receiving Votes" nod in the latest rankings.

Purdue came in at #25 this week. They are a home dog to Wisconsin. 👀

San Diego State (#22) is on the road at Air Force (-3½.) 🤷‍♂️
Would you put up SDSU-Air Force?
 
It's not uncommon to see lines differ from rankings; AP, Coaches, and power rankings. However, this weekend is quite unique.

Out of the top 25 there are four games where a ranked team is a dog. An underdog to an unranked team. Some of this I can see but it doesn't take away from the 'shock' value.

Look at Oregon (#10) getting points playing unranked UCLA. That's just odd, but on the "understandable" side look at what Oregon has been doing when they've been on the road. In '20 and now '21 they're likely right at .500.

Not to be outdone, Okie State is ranked at #8 and their road game at Iowa State. 'Books have the home team as a touchdown favorite. In all fairness ISU did get the "Others Receiving Votes" nod in the latest rankings.

Purdue came in at #25 this week. They are a home dog to Wisconsin. 👀

San Diego State (#22) is on the road at Air Force (-3½.) 🤷‍♂️
One more should have been on there. Unranked App State should have been the favorite at home over inexplicably over ranked CCU. Might have saved a bunch of you guys a bunch of money in the Sportsbook.
 

10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 8. The Belief System​

2. Tennessee at Alabama
LINE Alabama -25.5
ATS PICK Alabama

This pick comes with a slight caveat.

Of course you’re never, ever wrong with picking Alabama, especially at home.

When it was locked in against Ole Miss, it won in a walk – although only by 21. After the Texas A&M debacle, Bama rolled by 40 over a Mississippi State team that has a good enough defense to have made that closer.

Tennessee is a bit different, and there’s a reason this pick is No. 2.

Is QB Hendon Hooker playing, and is he going to be close to his normal self?

Banged up against Ole Miss and out late, he’s been practicing a bit but there’s no word yet on if he’ll be able to go and if he can produce.

I don’t like this part of the Belief System thing because I never, ever believe in dogging a college player in any way, even if critiquing is sort of what we’re all supposed to do.

The Tennessee O won’t do a thing against this Bama D if Joe Milton is under center for a prolonged period of time.

It would be great to see him come up with something special after the way the Ole Miss game ended, but he’s just not accurate and consistent enough.

Tennessee is a bit overloved because it was so good against a bad Ole Miss defense, and because it rolled by a mediocre South Carolina, and because it blew away a miserable Missouri defense.

The Vols lost at Florida by 24. You’re asking for 26 from Alabama.

And finally, if all else fails, and everything else melts down, and I’m so screwed up by a lack of sleep over the last six weeks and a diet consisting of nothing but peanut butter and coffee that my prognostication abilities are way, way off, THIS will save us all.

 
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