šŸˆ Looking at a few games from week one. Who do you like? Both straight up, and against the current spread? GAME 4: Syracuse vs. Tennessee (-12.5)

TerryP

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I haven't looked at the post-spring rosters for either team. It's just a "gut" thing backed with a few things I know.

QB's, as example. In my mind's eye I put the two next two each other and both have question marks. I don't see a clear advantage other than a few snaps. However, when I think about who is chasing those two guys? That's where I pause.

Texas as a few good DL coming back. Ohio State, while talented, is rebuilding a bit with a new DC.

Today, if I were to bet...

-3 normally translates to around -125. -5 or normally around -200. So, we can look at that line for OSU and see $100 is going to return $80 if they cover. Now, the spread will have a higher return: $180 vs $190.

I'm Texas covering and straight up. If I'm right in the Sportsbook here...it's be $22K+ in my "bank." at a $25K wager.
 
TCU vs UNC (-1.5.)

Another sports book reference on this next one: "fade the public."

Billy Bob Better bets on Billy B. That just how I see it and for that reason, amoung some others, I'm taking TCU on everything at +1.5.

You may think, "Yikes, taking TCU?" I'm saying "Dykes, I'm taking TCU.) TCU finished last season winning six of their last season after starting the season losing three of their first six.

They return quite a few starters including their starting QB who several SEC programs were trying to lure in this past season.

All I'm really going to watch is the dollar amounts...is it +110 on TCU or does the ML have a better return?
 
Syracuse vs Tennessee (-12.5)

(If tradition holds, which it will, I will bitch about all the orange in this game. It is in ATL, but that won't stop that god forsaken song.)

Here's something that sort of "gets me." The QB for 'Cuse was at ND last year. He didn't play a lot, but did see action in almost all of their games. Good completion rate, okay with his TD/INT numbers. Now, UT grabbed that kid from App State; Aguilar. He's a fifth year guy which should make everyone pause for a second. But, his senior year? Meh. Completion rate wasn't good, TD/INT wasn't average; below it in fact.

I don't get spread. That one of the biggest of that weekend I've seen. It also seems big to me from what I know of UT (and the little I know of 'Cuse.) The books are big on UT this weekend even with all that turnover on the roster.

You won't find me taking 'Cuse to upset the Vols. But geez, that line? I dunno ... doesn't seem like the odds makers are giving 'Cuse enough credit.
 
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