💰 SPRTSBK 💲💰 WEEK Four Is UPDATED! The SEC Returns! How many upsets do we see today?

[the Bookie]

Sportsbook

www.rolltidebama.com

 

[the Bookie]

Alabama is laying 28 vs Missouri this weekend Going back to 1984, it's 3rd most points UA has laid on the road.
35 @ ARK in 2018
29.5 @ TEN in 2018

 

[jlabit]

I wanted to make a bet tonight on the game this weekend, but I cannot find it on Sportsbook. It had three pages on my browser (Chrome), and I found weekend games for week 4, but could not find Bama-Mizzou. Am I screwing up?

 

[planomateo]

2021: Week Four - Alabama -27 (-4500) vs Missouri (+2250) O/U 56

www.rolltidebama.com

It's the 14th game on the list, Sportsbook

 

[rick4bama]

Categories

1. 2020 SEC19
2. 2020 P535
3. 2020 G525

Also look at the top left corner you will see this.

 

[TerryP]

Over the years I've pointed to the misconception that home field advantage automatically means three points. Based on the markets this season the average HFA has been -1.5 according to Brad Powers.

Home teams went 4-16 last week ATS.

 

[TerryP]

Vanderbilt's team total at Bovada (at Texas A&M) is 7.5 with -140 juice on the under

 

[Bama News]

Auburn run defense vs. Kentucky key to handicapping Tigers

Kentucky's offensive line is better than most people outside of Lexington realize. Can Auburn's defensive line hold its own after losing two of last season's standouts to the NFL?

www.al.com

In a conference-only season, Kentucky is an ideal opening-week opponent for Auburn.

It’s a game Auburn should win. At the same time, the Wildcats are good enough at the line of scrimmage to help the Tigers evaluate their biggest weaknesses.

Before you scoff at the notion that Kentucky can even compete with Auburn, consider that Circa Sports and BetOnline (usually first to market) both opened at Auburn -10 on Sunday. Kentucky has drawn serious money, including from me at +9.5.

The betting line vacillated between Auburn -7 and -7.5 for most of the day Tuesday. ESPN’s SP+ ranks Auburn eighth among FBS teams that are currently active and Kentucky 15th, which isn’t a huge gap.

Kentucky is 32-20 overall and 18-18 in the SEC since 2016. The team’s SEC record during that time is seventh-best in the SEC, one game behind Texas A&M.

Coach Mark Stoops has consistently beaten expectations. That includes last season when his team went 10-3 against the spread mostly while starting a receiver at quarterback after losing running back Benny Snell Jr. and linebacker Josh Allen.

Most gave all the credit to Lynn Bowden Jr. But Stoops has turned Kentucky into a bona fide SEC team at the line of scrimmage, where he’s stocked his roster with four-star recruits.

Auburn lost defensive tackle Derrick Brown (No. 7 overall) and DE Marlon Davidson (No. 47 overall) to the NFL draft. The Tigers feature a good group of linebackers, but we’ll find out a lot about the team’s pass rush and run defense in this first game.

Phil Steele and Pick Six Previews both ranked Kentucky’s offensive line in the top 5 nationally before the season – rankings that included the Big Ten and Pac-12. That’s the type of respect that Auburn’s defensive line achieved before last season.

Kentucky center Drake Jackson is one of the best in the country. He and left tackle Landon Young (6-foot-7, 321 pounds) are NFL draft prospects.

Phil Steele picked right tackle Darian Kinnard (6-foot-5, 345 pounds) as part of his preseason first-team All-SEC. Athlon Sports and Lindy’s Sports selected Luke Fortner as third-team All-SEC.

Running backs A.J. Rose, Christopher Rodriguez and Kavosiey Smoke are nice players. But they would not have rushed for a combined 1,975 yards on 6.2 yards per carry last season without a great offensive line, even with Bowden making linebackers hesitate.

Things aren’t much different on the other side of the football. Center Nick Brahms is Auburn’s only returning starter on the offensive line, and he made five starts last season.

Kentucky’s defensive line can’t match the strength of its offensive line. But two of Kentucky’s three starting defensive linemen earned at least third-team preseason All-SEC honors.

I think Auburn’s skill talent is as exciting as it has been in several years. Assuming quarterback Bo Nix can cut down on mistakes and the team’s offensive line isn’t a disaster, the receivers and running backs probably will impress, or even surprise, some people nationally.

The Tigers have a more talented roster than Kentucky and are playing at home. I expect Auburn to win a competitive game.

But Auburn’s performance at the line of scrimmage against Kentucky will say a lot about Auburn’s betting value in future games against Alabama, LSU, Tennessee and Texas A&M.

I wouldn’t recommend a bet on Kentucky at the current price. But if Auburn gets steamed up to -8.5 or more before kickoff, I like the Wildcats to cover the spread.

 

[TerryP]

A LOT of movement on the UAB line for tonight.

UAB at South Alabama - Thursday, September 24, 2020 7:30 PM
417 UAB	-7 +100	-260	Over 46½ -110
418 South Alabama	+7 -120	+220	Under 46½ -110
417 UAB	-6½ -120		Over 46 -113
418 South Alabama	+6½ +100		Under 46 -107
417 UAB	-7½ +120		Over 47 -105
418 South Alabama	+7½ -140		Under 47 -115
417 UAB	-6 -128		Over 45½ -115
418 South Alabama	+6 +108		Under 45½ -105
417 UAB	-8 +125		Over 47½ +100
418 South Alabama	+8 -145		Under 47½ -120
417 UAB	-5½ -135		Over 45 -123
418 South Alabama	+5½ +115		Under 45 +103
417 UAB	-8½ +130		Over 48 +109
418 South Alabama	+8½ -150		Under 48 -129
417 UAB	-5 -140		Over 44½ -131
418 South Alabama	+5 +120		Under 44½ +111
417 UAB	-9 +135		Over 48½ +118
418 South Alabama	+9 -155		Under 48½ -138
417 UAB	-4½ -145		Over 44 -140
418 South Alabama	+4½ +125		Under 44 +120
417 UAB	-9½ +140		Over 49 +128
418 South Alabama	+9½ -160		Under 49 -148
417 UAB	-4 -153		Over 43½ -147
418 South Alabama	+4 +133		Under 43½ +127
417 UAB	-10 +153		Over 49½ +136
418 South Alabama	+10 -173		Under 49½ -156
417 UAB	-3½ -160		Over 43 -152
418 South Alabama	+3½ +140		Under 43 +132
417 UAB	-10½ +165		Over 50 +143
418 South Alabama	+10½ -190		Under 50 -163

 

[TerryP]

A good interview with Spencer here.

He mentions UF only playing in Oxford three times since the conference expansion: '94, at Ole Miss was their first and Florida hosting Ole Miss in '15 their last.) I led me to wonder how many times they'd played each other since 1992; only seven times.

What caught my eye is over that period:

UF only holds a 4-3 led in the series; 2-2 at home.
The underdog of 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
The Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five.
The under is 4-1 but I'm not expecting that to come into play with Lane (especially with UF losing two DB's already.)
Ole Miss is sneaky about covering the spread vs Florida (two of three since 2007.)

 

[TerryP]

For the hell of it...My calls this morning.

And right now I"ve just got OU covering...that lack of funds thing. 3:00 and I'm on the under ⬇

MATCHUP		My Call
#5Florida	Ole Miss	Ole Miss covers
#23Kentucky	#8Auburn	Kentucky covers
Mississippi State	#6LSU	LSU ML
#4Georgia	Arkansas	Under
#2Alabama	Missouri	Bama covers
Vanderbilt	#10Texas A&M	A&M ML
#16Tennessee	South Carolina	UT covers

 

[252BAMA]

First prop wager I made was Kentucky +7 1/2.

 

[rick4bama]

UF vs Ole Siss all tie up 14-14.

 

[TerryP]

Stingley out for LSU. Evidently in hospital for (rumored) allergic reaction.

 

[the Bookie]

Over $500,000 wagered on the OU vs KSU game: pay out a little over $13,000.

 

[#80]

Over $500,000 wagered on the OU vs KSU game: pay out a little over $13,000.

I guess you can go buy a Ferrari.

 

[Rolltide24]

Bookie is making hay today. Unusually tough “opening day” for us to pick winners. Opening day at least for the teams most of us care about.

 

[Elderfalsedemigod]

Notifications said I lost 3. F the bookie

 

[planomateo]

 

[Elderfalsedemigod]

I apologize for that post

I did go 0 fer

not the bookies fault though