Too much optimism that borders arrogance. I am more realistic. This team most definitely should win the Natty, I've been saying that. I've also noticed a shift in college football where there are about four or five title worthy teams. It's no longer Alabama, and everyone else. While we still just win, we are forced to reload every year like everyone else. With the portal, we lose players like everyone else. With NIL, we lose out on guys like everyone else. Obviously with our success we lose players early to the draft and coaches to other opportunities more than others. All of that tempers my expectations anymore, plus it's ok to notice perceived weaknesses. The deep ball still concerns me is all.
It's not really about arrogance or anything. I've looked at the last 4 games of offense/defense and then compared them to spring camp. I factor in who's leaving and who's staying, and who's likely to step up and that's where I draw my conclusion based on the data, and I don't see any reason for Defense to take a step back this fall, especially with emergence of Braswell, Anderson and Turner with a solid LB and CB play... That's lot of experience on Defense, so its rare to have experienced defense to take a step back under Saban.
Under Saban's, the DL set the tone of the play, and if they can generate enough pressure up front then it allows LBs to make play, we're in good hands. You made it sound like the OLBs are doing all of the work, and I never said that. They play a huge role on the defense. Will Anderson and Turner are hard to blow on consistent basis, so they are very good.
As far as OL, I'm not really concerned about them as of now, because we have new OL coach, and they need time to gel and Summer/Fall camp will provide that. I"ll worry about them when that time comes.. We'll know something by 2nd or 3rd game if we got issue or not.
I've noticed you have brought up NIL so many times.... Let me ask you this: have it affected Alabama in negative way in regard to NIL Deals? Have we lost a player to transfer portal of NIL yet? Have the player used the portal to get NIL with Alabama? Saban operates differently from others.
I doubt Saban will let NIL drive one of the Bama players to the portal...
I want to point out this: LSU/ Georgia lost lot of players/coaches to NFL/ opportunities after winning Championship. Alabama just happened to win more championships in past 10 years and that's why we lose so many players/coaches.. This is nothing new... We know how to manage that.
Now on Deep ball....
sighs
I'm not understanding why you're concerned about the deep ball play. This past season, the DBs had the following:
Alabama’s DBs played in position most of the year and were generally in phase with their man; there weren’t a litany of opponents scampering freely through the secondary like gazelle in the Garden of Eden. Unlike 2019, the DBs were very ball aware too — players weren’t getting their heads around late on passes, and giving up easy conversions (that way, at least).
- Alabama was a respectable 29th in YPA, allowing 6.9 per toss.
- Alabama was T-14th in the country in INTs forced, picking off 15 in 15 contests.
- 3rd down completion percentage was very good, particularly on shorter passes where the positional play was able to be exploited.
There's a chart that tracks the Deep ball Bama gave up last season.
+30 yards- 19 <-- half of that were on 3rd and 4th downs. That was our majority of our issues.
+40 yards- 9
+50 yards -5
+60 yards- 3
+70 yards and more- 1