What if Bama wins a very close controversial game with MSU that is so close and controversial that the committee leaves MSU in at #3 or #4 and leaves Bama at #5 and then MSU wins out, and Bama wins out, and Oregon wins out, and F$U wins out, and TCU wins out? Bama stay at #5? You betcha!
But, you ask, how are they going to put the 11-1 loser of Bama-MSU in, and leave the 12-1 winner of Bama-MSU out? Exact same question I asked of Bama and LSU in 2011, but I have yet to find someone who thinks LSU would have been in the NCG at 12-1 had they lost to UGA.