🏈 BAMA-MICHIGAN Predict the score
- Thread starter tidentrue
- Start date
I am with you. I see this game being close. I don't want to predict anything but UM could very well win this one.
I dunno... I know that I am the uber-homer, but I just don't see a reason to be overly concerned about Michigan.
Their OL is serviceable - but not great. Our DL is going to be very good. They will be youthful at the 2's, but the starters have a ton of reps. Ditto for the 'backers. Our secondary replaced a lot of NFL talent, but there is NFL talent in our secondary this season. Robinson does not have a history as a pinpoint passer by any stretch of the imagination.
In 2011, Michigan State and Iowa held them to 14 and 16 points, respectively. They broke 40 against Nebraska, which was probably their best game - but Nebraska wasn't so good against South Carolina, was blown out by Wisky, and lost to 6-7 Northwestern.
Denard was Michigan's leading rusher. #2 rusher Fitz Toussaint is back... but the running game doesn't really scare me. Alabama ranked #2 in the NCAA in run defense in 2008 and 2009, 10th in 2010, and 1st in 2011. The defense in 2012 is expected to drop off a little from last year's record setting unit, but it is expected to be much better than 2010.
Yes, our secondary is breaking in some new faces, but most are experienced... Perry, Belue, Clinton-Dix, Fulton, Lester, Milliner, Sunseri, Williams...there are others...these guys have playing and starting time.
The DL lost some faces, but Jesse Williams is an absolute beast at NT, Square, Dial, Stinson... these guys are all experienced and good enough to disrupt things and force the play.
LB lost some faces, but Hubbard, DePriest, Nico, Mosely - all played enough minutes to be household names. Tana Patrick is due for a breakout season.
Will we step back defensively? Probably...it would be hard not to. The 2011 unit may have been our best ever defense. They were unbelievable. 2012 will be very, very good, and there is enough experience and depth that I don't see a long-term slump while reserves learn "on the job." The 2's could be a concern if fatigue gets to our 1's, but the 4th quarter program + a ton of 3 & outs will allay that.
I just don't see Michigan's offense doing much against us. We will be significantly better defensively than the Va Tech squad that held the Wolverines under 200 yards in the Sugar Bowl. Many feel that Michigan will be down a bit because of the OL issues - but even if they are the same or slightly better, we are still at an extreme advantage.
The real tale of the tape is when Michigan's defense is on the field.
Mismatch. Period.
They have good linebackers, but our offense plays against great 'backers in practice every day. Our OL against their DL is an extreme mismatch. It is well documented that Michigan lost 3 starters from the DL, but I think the mismatch with Alabama is underhyped. Seriously. Alabama has 3 All-Americans on the OL, and by the end of the season that number may reach 4.
Everyone talks about Denard, but Alabama is the team with the 2012 BCS NC game NVP at QB. The receiving corp is very good, if not filled with household names... and Lacey + Fowler + Yeldon + anyone any crimson who runs the ball will get all the yards they want against the Michigan D. VT had almost 400 yards against Michigan - before the DL graduated. Alabama is NOT VT. I don't know that VT has a single player on the offensive 2 deep that would crack the 2 deep on Alabama's offensive roster.
The way I see it, Alabama plays to its standard then Alabama wins this game comfortably. If Michigan goes panic mode and gets sloppy, it will get ugly.
Their OL is serviceable - but not great. Our DL is going to be very good. They will be youthful at the 2's, but the starters have a ton of reps. Ditto for the 'backers. Our secondary replaced a lot of NFL talent, but there is NFL talent in our secondary this season. Robinson does not have a history as a pinpoint passer by any stretch of the imagination.
In 2011, Michigan State and Iowa held them to 14 and 16 points, respectively. They broke 40 against Nebraska, which was probably their best game - but Nebraska wasn't so good against South Carolina, was blown out by Wisky, and lost to 6-7 Northwestern.
Denard was Michigan's leading rusher. #2 rusher Fitz Toussaint is back... but the running game doesn't really scare me. Alabama ranked #2 in the NCAA in run defense in 2008 and 2009, 10th in 2010, and 1st in 2011. The defense in 2012 is expected to drop off a little from last year's record setting unit, but it is expected to be much better than 2010.
Yes, our secondary is breaking in some new faces, but most are experienced... Perry, Belue, Clinton-Dix, Fulton, Lester, Milliner, Sunseri, Williams...there are others...these guys have playing and starting time.
The DL lost some faces, but Jesse Williams is an absolute beast at NT, Square, Dial, Stinson... these guys are all experienced and good enough to disrupt things and force the play.
LB lost some faces, but Hubbard, DePriest, Nico, Mosely - all played enough minutes to be household names. Tana Patrick is due for a breakout season.
Will we step back defensively? Probably...it would be hard not to. The 2011 unit may have been our best ever defense. They were unbelievable. 2012 will be very, very good, and there is enough experience and depth that I don't see a long-term slump while reserves learn "on the job." The 2's could be a concern if fatigue gets to our 1's, but the 4th quarter program + a ton of 3 & outs will allay that.
I just don't see Michigan's offense doing much against us. We will be significantly better defensively than the Va Tech squad that held the Wolverines under 200 yards in the Sugar Bowl. Many feel that Michigan will be down a bit because of the OL issues - but even if they are the same or slightly better, we are still at an extreme advantage.
The real tale of the tape is when Michigan's defense is on the field.
Mismatch. Period.
They have good linebackers, but our offense plays against great 'backers in practice every day. Our OL against their DL is an extreme mismatch. It is well documented that Michigan lost 3 starters from the DL, but I think the mismatch with Alabama is underhyped. Seriously. Alabama has 3 All-Americans on the OL, and by the end of the season that number may reach 4.
Everyone talks about Denard, but Alabama is the team with the 2012 BCS NC game NVP at QB. The receiving corp is very good, if not filled with household names... and Lacey + Fowler + Yeldon + anyone any crimson who runs the ball will get all the yards they want against the Michigan D. VT had almost 400 yards against Michigan - before the DL graduated. Alabama is NOT VT. I don't know that VT has a single player on the offensive 2 deep that would crack the 2 deep on Alabama's offensive roster.
The way I see it, Alabama plays to its standard then Alabama wins this game comfortably. If Michigan goes panic mode and gets sloppy, it will get ugly.
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'Bama - 30
Mitchagain - 15
Give or take one bama TD.
Our OL pushes them around, as expected, we run at will and set a tempo.
They score once early as the D gives up the usual blown play to an explosive offense. Then our dominance in the trenches begins to show, we shut down their running game and DR throws multiple INTs. They score once late in the fourth with several reserves playing on D, DR scrambles for the 2 pt conversion to give them a respectable score.
Mitchagain - 15
Give or take one bama TD.
Our OL pushes them around, as expected, we run at will and set a tempo.
They score once early as the D gives up the usual blown play to an explosive offense. Then our dominance in the trenches begins to show, we shut down their running game and DR throws multiple INTs. They score once late in the fourth with several reserves playing on D, DR scrambles for the 2 pt conversion to give them a respectable score.
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yep.
Roll Tide! Someone I know told me about this site and he said that except for the Moderators, it was a pretty good place to hang out on the internets.
:biggrin-new::biggrin-new:
I remember you, TerryP, from Tidefans back in the day, circa late nineties, early 2000's.
Love the Site!!
Hey, did anybody catch Gameday this past weekend? NOT ONE of the commentators (Howard, Corso, or Herbstreit) picked ANY SEC team to be in the title game this year.
Herb did pick us to beat UGA in the SEC CG.
42-17 Bama.
I'm give UM 2 td's for Robinson's abilty alone and 1 FG
based on our D ablity to hold. They will get lucky and catch us naping on 2.
other than that..... not much going for the yellow & blue rats.
That D line of thiers is going to get worn out real fast.
Our Offense will be better than i can ever remember.
WE WILL PASS. and i mean a lot. more than i think we have in years.
Passing game will finally catch up to the running game.
Jesse will get in the pocket and in Denards face. count on it.
Dee will get one pick in this game min.
I talked to Carl Millner day before yeaterday. (worked with him for almost 2 yrs.) and
have been told that there is the matter of 300 push up on the line if Dee can't get an INT.
on Robinson. And Dee would really love to see his uncle do those 300 push ups. lol :rofl:
I feel bad for Carl... he's like me....3 would be pushing it. 300.....no freaking way. lol
@ some point we'll see one of our RB in @ H.
AJ will be 22 of 28 or better.
I'm give UM 2 td's for Robinson's abilty alone and 1 FG
based on our D ablity to hold. They will get lucky and catch us naping on 2.
other than that..... not much going for the yellow & blue rats.
That D line of thiers is going to get worn out real fast.
Our Offense will be better than i can ever remember.
WE WILL PASS. and i mean a lot. more than i think we have in years.
Passing game will finally catch up to the running game.
Jesse will get in the pocket and in Denards face. count on it.
Dee will get one pick in this game min.
I talked to Carl Millner day before yeaterday. (worked with him for almost 2 yrs.) and
have been told that there is the matter of 300 push up on the line if Dee can't get an INT.
on Robinson. And Dee would really love to see his uncle do those 300 push ups. lol :rofl:
I feel bad for Carl... he's like me....3 would be pushing it. 300.....no freaking way. lol
@ some point we'll see one of our RB in @ H.
AJ will be 22 of 28 or better.
Herbie is on crack and needs to put down the pipe. didn't you know that? lol
Doc, check your inventory @ the office, i think herbie may have stolen some of your gas bottles.
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