🏈 Alabama Number Crunch: Examining throws of Blake Sims and Jake Coker

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D.C. Reeves
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After Saturday's 41-0 win over Florida Atlantic, the newest turn on the hotly-debated quarterback competition at Alabama is about verticality of the offense with each quarterback in the game.

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Blake Sims' 12 completions traveled to receivers a combined 30 yards downfield.
While starter Blake Sims was more efficient and threw for more yards, more of Jake Coker's pass attempts went down the field, opening up yet another compartment of the debate about which quarterback could lead Alabama to long term success.

So for the sake of this discussion, we'll measure the distance passes traveled from the line of scrimmage to the intended receiver. That means in some cases, a bubble screen or screen pass will have a negative number as the receiver caught the ball at least a yard behind the line. (It is also why the yards after catch will not necessarily add up to the total passing yards for each player).

Sims was very efficient Saturday, completing 12-of-14 passes. Half of those 12 completions were caught by receivers behind the line of scrimmage. Only two of 14 pass attempts were intended for receivers more than eight yards past the line of scrimmage.

All told, Sims' 12 completions traveled a combined 30 yards, a 2.3-yard average. Last week against West Virginia, Sims' 24 completions went to receivers an average of 5.3 yards down the field.

Sims' receivers got plenty of work, however. Alabama pass catchers amassed 198 yards after catching a Sims pass, a robust 16.5 yards per catch.

Coker took more vertical shots with eight of his 24 pass attempts were delivered to receivers at least 13 yards downfield. He completed four of eight.

Coker's 15 completions traveled a total of 130 yards, an 8.7 yards traveled per completion average. His 24 attempts traveled to receivers an average of 11.1 yards downfield.

The numbers from Saturday's win:

Category Sims Coker
Completions-Attempts 12-14 14-25
Completion Percentage 85.7 56
QBR 99.4 74.5
Pass thrown behind LOS 6-6 5-6
Yards traveled per Attempt 5 11.1
Yards per Completion 2.3 8.7
Yards after catch/AVG 198/16.5 75/5.4
So what should you glean from these numbers?

There's no mystery that when Coker came in, he took more shots down the field than Sims. When asked about it after the game, Sims even admitted that was more of Coker's strength than his.

"He has strengths where my weaknesses are, and I have strengths where his weaknesses can be. We're a team," Sims said. "Everybody wears the Crimson jersey out there. We're just happy to have Jacob Coker come all the way here and play for the Crimson Tide."

Coker more than doubled Sims' yards traveled per attempt and more than tripled Sims' yards traveled per completion.

But does that matter?

Sims was more accurate than Coker, posted a better QB rating and scored three touchdowns on the four drives he was in. They both had one big mental error apiece (Coker not getting a field goal before the half/Sims miscommunication on play call inside the 5 leading to a fumble).

Some things to think about when it comes to this discussion:

  • This was Coker's first action, and he entered leading 21-0 against what should turn out to be one of the nation's worst defenses this season. It's understandable that Nick Saban and Lane Kiffin are going to want to experiment and have Coker play to his perceived strength. It's not safe to assume that these would be the throws Coker would be making if he entered a tie game against Florida in two weeks.
  • Blake Sims played 16 snaps to start the game and eight more to start the second half. In those first 16 snaps, Florida Atlantic was playing so far off of Alabama receivers that Sims would have been foolish to take anything else. Of his 10 throws in those first 16 snaps, Sims hit receivers at these distances: 2, 5, minus-1, minus-5, minus-1, minus-1, 24 (incomplete), 8, minus-2, minus-2.
    Those nine completions went for a total of 169 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Florida Atlantic had just been crushed by the short passing game for Sims to the tune of three straight touchdown drives, so it's likely some adjustments were made and the defensive backs were moved closer to the line of scrimmage as Coker entered. Would Coker have thrown more short passes if he had started the game and had the same looks at Sims? If the roles reversed and FAU tried to take away the perimeter stuff from Sims, would Sims have had more shots - and maybe even been more accurate - throwing down the field?
  • Coker admitted that some of his deep throws weren't perfect - he had two completions going 40-plus yards that were brought in with nice catches. In this small of a sample size, if one of those is dropped Coker and Sims' numbers would be significantly closer.
    "Obviously I made a few throws today that weren't very good throws downfield and they were still caught," Coker said. "It was nice to still count on those guys and it was real fun being out there being able to sling it around a little bit."
  • All things being equal - and in a QB competition they usually aren't - there is absolutely value in having a player who can stretch the field with deeper throws. If the QB can show the ability to complete passes downfield, it stretches the back seven of the defense to allow more running room and make play action more impactful.
  • Writing off Sims as just a beneficiary to superior athletes at receiver is shortsighted. Half the battle on bubble screens, quick strikes to the perimeter and swing passes is ball placement. Throw behind a receiver and he's tackled for no gain, throw ahead of him and he's off to the races. Sims was clearly better in the short passing game with only one subpar throw (which was still hauled in by Amari Cooper). For example, with no pressure, Coker threw way over the head of Cam Sims on a simple bubble screen behind the line of scrimmage. Coker also wasn't as consistent getting short throws out fast and on the money.
    While going vertical is more intriguing, and when done well, can be a major asset, Kiffin's scheme is always going to call for the quarterback to make these kinds of short perimeter throws no matter who is under center.
  • Is there value in being able to stretch a defense? Absolutely. No quarterback or offensive coordinator would prefer to not have that option. But what statistics can't show is whether throwing deeper was the correct read. Throwing a deep incompletion doesn't necessarily mean it was the right decision, especially if someone was open underneath. How far throws travel doesn't parallel offensive success.
- See more at: https://alabama.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1678947#sthash.70q7ig2f.dpuf

Sorry, I couldn't get the columns to line up right in the table.
 
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Sims' catches behind the line are more helpful than Coker's incompletions 40-50 yards downfield though. With the bevy of adept and athletic receivers we have I don't mind the slip screens and quick hitting throws. They are like short runs of 5-8 yards each time and really open up our running game.
 
Sims' catches behind the line are more helpful than Coker's incompletions 40-50 yards downfield though. With the bevy of adept and athletic receivers we have I don't mind the slip screens and quick hitting throws. They are like short runs of 5-8 yards each time and really open up our running game.
It works against WV and FAU. Will it work against Florida? Man coverage, everyone else in the box?

I like how you compared Sims screens to Coker's down the field passes, too. Did Coker throw any screens? Sure did. He took what the defense gave him. We would go 'round and 'round. We'll see how things go against Florida. With no better qb play than what Sims brings to the table, this team loses two or three games. If Coker isn't better, this team loses two or three.
 
How the game plan plays out is certainly a component of where defensive openings exist, but it's also as much or more a component of the offensive plan. Opening up with perimeter short passing, and the reverse to Cooper, showed the offensive plan of working the edges. Let's not forget that, true to typical playcalling strategy, that Sims' rollout left and midrange/deep pass to Christion Jones was open, perhaps due the earlier short passes.

Also, the strategy of these standup passes or WR screens is not new to the Alabama playbook. Julio took one to the house against LSU a few years back and (I can't remember if it was the same game or not) Bama used that strategy early to wear down LSU's big D-line to make them run sideline to sideline to soften them up for the running game.

RTR,

Tim
 
i really like the zip that Blake puts on the short screens. It give the receiver more space before contact.

Coker was terrible on one screen pass that i recall. About 4 feet over #7's head.

is there any way for both of them to play at the same time??? :hurray:
 
Just because you can throw it deep, doesn't mean you can throw it accurately and deep. I'm not sure this statistic is out there ,but I would like to know the average distance that the ball traveled in the air for both quarterbacks. Throwing it all the way to the sideline is still around a 20 yard throw.
 
Just because you can throw it deep, doesn't mean you can throw it accurately and deep. I'm not sure this statistic is out there ,but I would like to know the average distance that the ball traveled in the air for both quarterbacks. Throwing it all the way to the sideline is still around a 20 yard throw.

It reminds me of what I remember as a Kenny Stabler story. They asked Kenny if he could throw a football to the seventh floor balcony of a certain hotel. He said no. They said that Bert Jones (a strong-armed QB with the Colts, if I recall) had done it. Kenny replied, "yeah, but he was aiming for the fourth floor".

RTR,

Tim
 
The throw from either that caught my attention the most was the little screen that Coker threw over the head of Amari Cooper about 10 yards... It may have been nerves but good lord that was bad.
 
It is really a chess game. Give our WR a cushion and we do as we have done. Lock up on them in press man with safety help takes a man out of the box and creates openings for our run gam. Putting them on an island without safety help is a practice very few can undertake because of our WR talent. Zone us in the secondary and we have our WRs on crossing routes with a chance to make a play in space. We have not really gone to it yet, but certain defenses will put linebackers on O J Howard, which we will like as well. We have a lot of tools in our offense.
 
We look to be running two separate offenses. A more traditional West Coast style with Blake, quick rhythm passes and a more traditional Pro-style with Jake, 5-7 steps and sling it!
 

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