📡 Alabama comes in fifth in the second playoff ranking of 2019-2020.

[94 Grad]

Problem is... even if #4 this week, staying at 4 won’t be easy and more likely than not would drop even if winning out.

Hate to say it, but top 4 finish is out of our control at this point regardless of rankings this week.

 

[mando]

Does not seem to me to be a very difficult path and actually likely path. LSU beats UGA, Bama wins out, OSU beats Minn, OU beats Baylor. Seems like that would leave Oregon vs Bama vs OU for the final spot. No brainer with regards to Oregon. OU would be a different in that they would have the championship title on the resume and a blue blood name. Bama will have a tough job against the barn down in the cow pasture.

If Bama is at 4, I think they stay there unless UGA beats LSU. Interesting thought, would LSU throw one so they do not have to deal with bama again? I know this is not what normal competitors do but we are talking about Shrek and the corndogs.

 

[BamaFan334]

Problem is... even if #4 this week, staying at 4 won’t be easy and more likely than not would drop even if winning out.

Hate to say it, but top 4 finish is out of our control at this point regardless of rankings this week.

I agree somewhat with what you're saying, but if we win out, who would have a big time win the jump us? The only scenario I see that could hurt us is if Minnesota or Penn State beat Ohio State down the road giving them that chance at a marquee win. Let's face it, Minnesota can't hang with anyone in the Top 6, atleast in my eyes. I was never on the Penn State bandwagon either. Oregon and Utah playing has potential, but if we drill Auburn, I still don't think Oregon will have what it takes to jump us when you compare losses. and wins. I feel like the Top 4 is a good Top 4 and the honest to goodness best four teams in the country. LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, and Alabama have the talent, ability, and big game value to outlast all the others. Georgia has a bad loss, Oklahoma has a bad loss, Utah has a bad loss, Oregon has potential for a bad loss depending on how Auburn finishes with Georgia and us. If we win, we are in, and hope that Georgia loses to either Auburn or LSU in the SEC Championship. If Georgia wins the SEC Championship then they would jump us. So that is the only likely scenario I see, and I don't think Georgia beating LSU is all that likely.

 

[TerryP]

When I put that table up Sunday morning with the losses and undefeated I suppose there was a part of me that hoped we'd see logical heads prevail instead of those immediately claiming "Bama is out." There's a tweet in this thread from Herbstreit where you can tell he's looking at the whole picture rather than listening to others who want to pile on that bandwagon.

I'm seeing more and more people begin to take note of the season as a whole as evidenced here with Ryen

 

[94 Grad]

I agree somewhat with what you're saying, but if we win out, who would have a big time win the jump us? The only scenario I see that could hurt us is if Minnesota or Penn State beat Ohio State down the road giving them that chance at a marquee win. Let's face it, Minnesota can't hang with anyone in the Top 6, atleast in my eyes. I was never on the Penn State bandwagon either. Oregon and Utah playing has potential, but if we drill Auburn, I still don't think Oregon will have what it takes to jump us when you compare losses. and wins. I feel like the Top 4 is a good Top 4 and the honest to goodness best four teams in the country. LSU, Ohio State, Clemson, and Alabama have the talent, ability, and big game value to outlast all the others. Georgia has a bad loss, Oklahoma has a bad loss, Utah has a bad loss, Oregon has potential for a bad loss depending on how Auburn finishes with Georgia and us. If we win, we are in, and hope that Georgia loses to either Auburn or LSU in the SEC Championship. If Georgia wins the SEC Championship then they would jump us. So that is the only likely scenario I see, and I don't think Georgia beating LSU is all that likely.

I’d have to look again when I get back to a computer, but a 1 loss Minnesota, 1 loss Penn State, 1 loss tOsu, 1 loss Oklahoma (winning the Big12), and a 1 loss Oregon (winning the PAC-12) will be difficult to stay ahead of.

Keep in mind our only signature win would be over a 3 or 4 loss aU. Not really that impressive.

Not saying it would happen, but Bama fatigue could set in on the voters...

 

[Tidestalker]

I’d have to look again when I get back to a computer, but a 1 loss Minnesota, 1 loss Penn State, 1 loss tOsu, 1 loss Oklahoma (winning the Big12), and a 1 loss Oregon (winning the PAC-12) will be difficult to stay ahead of.

Keep in mind our only signature win would be over a 3 or 4 loss aU. Not really that impressive.

Not saying it would happen, but Bama fatigue could set in on the voters...

Despite the sacrilege... Auburn beating Georgia would be great for us.

 

[JoseyWalesTheOutlaw]

 

[#80]

It really doesn't matter if we are 4 or 5 right now teams are going to have to lose for us to get it. So let the chaos start this weekend. Everybody better pull like hell for the barn. We really need them to beat GA.

 

[Bamabww]

I can’t pull for them but I hope like hell awbarn beats jawja and then we take care of them on the plains.

 

[RTB X Bot]

 

[BamaFan334]

I’d have to look again when I get back to a computer, but a 1 loss Minnesota, 1 loss Penn State, 1 loss tOsu, 1 loss Oklahoma (winning the Big12), and a 1 loss Oregon (winning the PAC-12) will be difficult to stay ahead of.

Keep in mind our only signature win would be over a 3 or 4 loss aU. Not really that impressive.

Not saying it would happen, but Bama fatigue could set in on the voters...

Well we need Ohio State to go undefeated. That means Penn State would have two losses, and therefor eliminated. There is zero way a one loss Minnesota team gets the nod over us. I simply cannot see how that could happen, especially seeing as they are #8 now and undefeated after beating #4. One could also make the argument that Oklahoma, even with a conference Championship of who have they played? If we beat Auburn and LSU wins the SEC Championship, I just find it hard to believe we get left out. If Ohio State loses to Michigan, who has the better loss, us or Ohio State? Then the questions is, who has Ohio State played? Anything can happen of course, but with the games left to be played, I just can't see a scenario that is likely to happen where we are left out. As I said, anything can happen, but the likelihood has to be minuscule.

 

[Max]

Here's your key in knowing relying on Auburn is a mistake.

 

[bama alum]

Here's your key in knowing relying on Auburn is a mistake.

 

[Rolltide24]

I hope the committee will find some value in our resume. If our only feather is beating an 8-3 Aubie, that will make our road tough, no matter who we lost to. We have the best loss of all 1-loss teams, but we also have the least top-25 wins. And no conference title. Just my current observations. Hopefully some things work in our favor to keep our streak alive.

 

[OldPlayer]

The easiest way in:

Alabama wins the remaining games convincingly
LSU continues to win
Ohio State continues to win including a win over Minnesota in the Big10 CG
Clemson continues to win
Georgia loses to Auburn and/or LSU
Oklahoma loses or struggles to win and beats Baylor in the Big12 CG

 

[mando]

The easiest way in:

Alabama wins the remaining games convincingly
LSU continues to win
Ohio State continues to win including a win over Minnesota in the Big10 CG
Clemson continues to win
Georgia loses to Auburn and/or LSU
Oklahoma loses or struggles to win and beats Baylor in the Big12 CG

Add one more to the list just to be completely safe - Need a path to make sure a 1 loss PAC-12 conference champion is not something we have to get in a debate about. From my perspective it should not matter but talking heads are including a 1 loss conference champion in the mix because they will have a quality win in their conference championship game. So some kind of Oregon/Utah loss will before the conference championship wouldn't hurt

From your list I think most of those are safe bets. For me the biggest questions may be Bama winning or winning convincingly against the barn and LSU beating Georgia. I am not convinced in LSU's greatness the way everyone else seems to be. Also, cookie monster now has to coach with the bama monkey of his back. He is emotions driven so might now be as easy at it looks and he has never done it.

 

[rick4bama]

The easiest way in:

Alabama wins the remaining games convincingly ( Best way for Bama to get in!)
LSU continues to win (Got to play UGA in the SECC)
Ohio State continues to win including a win over Minnesota in the Big10 CG (Before playing Minn. in the B1GC game still got to play Penn. St and maybe Mich.)
Clemson continues to win (Nothing in the way of these guys!)
Georgia loses to Auburn and/or LSU (Sorry but the last few years when Burns beat UGA then it also does to Bama & I would rather see then lose to UGA in the SECC)
Oklahoma loses or struggles to win and beats Baylor in the Big12 CG (Both play each other this weekend. So if OK win it will play them again in the Big12C, but Texas is sitting right behind them at 5-2 Baylor had to play Tex. next weekend. But who we kidding the SEC is more powerful than the Big 12,10)

But I think this year will be the hardest for Bama to get in. I read someone saying Bama tired! (NOT BAMA FANS.) Right now I bet if he could @the Bookie could put up some type of betting on Bama getting in!

 

[BamaFan334]

The easiest way in:

Alabama wins the remaining games convincingly
LSU continues to win
Ohio State continues to win including a win over Minnesota in the Big10 CG
Clemson continues to win
Georgia loses to Auburn and/or LSU
Oklahoma loses or struggles to win and beats Baylor in the Big12 CG

I agree with this. I feel Oregon and Utah are both behind due to lack of opponents and Oregon losing to a mid level SEC school and Utah losing to a middle Pac-12 school, both of which will have over three losses by the end of the year, atleast.

Georgia losing to Auburn or LSU is what we need to happen for sure in my eyes. Never know, Texas A&M could sneak up on them. Georgia has not played a true mobile quarterback this year, and Mond can offer that more than Ian Book. mond's accuracy just has to be on that day.

Clemson losing at all knocks them out. Their schedule is just awful. Wake Forest is the best team they play, Wake Forest.

In the end, it all rests with Georgia in my opinion. If we can blow out the rest of our schedule, I don't see how Oklahoma could jump us with their lousy schedule and lousy loss.

 

[BamaFan334]

Add one more to the list just to be completely safe - Need a path to make sure a 1 loss PAC-12 conference champion is not something we have to get in a debate about. From my perspective it should not matter but talking heads are including a 1 loss conference champion in the mix because they will have a quality win in their conference championship game. So some kind of Oregon/Utah loss will before the conference championship wouldn't hurt

From your list I think most of those are safe bets. For me the biggest questions may be Bama winning or winning convincingly against the barn and LSU beating Georgia. I am not convinced in LSU's greatness the way everyone else seems to be. Also, cookie monster now has to coach with the bama monkey of his back. He is emotions driven so might now be as easy at it looks and he has never done it.

No offense here, but what more do you honestly need to see to understand that LSU is a great team? They beat us, Texas, Florida, Auburn, and everyone else thrown at them. That is the best resume in the country.

 

[JoshB]

Ryan Clark just said the quiet part out loud.