🏈 Wisconsin vs LSU

[the Bookie]

A two point drop with money coming in on Wisconsin across the board.

LSU finished last season 1-5 ATS and the Tigers are looking at a new QB and in search of some playmakers at WR.

Wisconsin is know to start slow: Under is 5-1 in the last six games played in August.

However, neutral site, non conference games? Both teams combine for 8-2 on the over (50) in their last 10 contests.

 

[alabama mike]

I have no idea what all that means concerning the odds.

 

[TerryP]

I have no idea what all that means concerning the odds.

Read intro thread at the top of the forum index. If you have questions after that just ask.

As soon as I get back to PC I'll break bookies post down in simpler terms

 

[Nothing_But_A_Winner00]

Love the avatar

 

[TerryP]

I have no idea what all that means concerning the odds.

If I'm being very basic here and saying things you already know, sorry.

The line opened with LSU favored by six point, hence -6. Due to people betting on Wisconsin the line has changed in an effort to balance out the team people are betting on. It's now, -4. SO, to win betting on LSU they'll need to win by four or more. (Some places would consider a four point win a push. I don't have it set up that way here.)

When lines move it's due to people betting on one team more heavily than the other. A slow move over a week, like this one, normally indicates the public has been betting on one team. In this case, Wisconsin. IF there was a two point swing in a matter of hours that normally means that the "sharps" have come in with big money and placed it on one particular team.

ATS- Against The Spread. Last season, LSU didn't cover the spread five of the six games they played to finish the season. Hence, LSU was 1-5 ATS.

Under is 5-1 the last six games Wisconsin has played in August. The over/under is currently 50. If that trend continues the total amount of point scored by both teams should be under 50.

However, when you look at both teams playing non-conference teams and add in neutral sites the over has paid eight out of ten times.

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[252BAMA]

Interesting note from the 'Multiple changes in College GameDay' thread/link.

• Fitting said GameDay will talk more gambling this year in an organic way. “We will weave in naturally more gambling references and tips and information,” Fitting said. “But it won’t scream gambling. I think gamblers will pick up on it, but non-gamblers will not be turned away. I like gambling information when it appeals to the non-gamblers.

 

[alabama mike]

@TerryP thanks for the info, I understood everything you explained.

 

[TerryP]

Interesting note from the 'Multiple changes in College GameDay' thread/link.

• Fitting said GameDay will talk more gambling this year in an organic way. “We will weave in naturally more gambling references and tips and information,” Fitting said. “But it won’t scream gambling. I think gamblers will pick up on it, but non-gamblers will not be turned away. I like gambling information when it appeals to the non-gamblers.

FS1's college football show had a segment on the lines last year. It was the only portion of that show that was unique.

Considering how poorly they did in ratings, it makes me doubt ESPN decided to do so based on their success...though, it may have given them the idea.