šŸˆ Sumlin on the hot seat?

Monday Thoughts
Mark Passwaters | Editor
You figure it out
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Here we go again

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For the fourth straight season, the Aggies are folding in November.

If Texas A&M had taken care of business the way it should have Saturday, it would be number 2 in the nation today.

Think about that. Second. Only behind Alabama, who you gave a fight to.

Instead, they're working their way out of the top 25 after humiliating themselves by losing to the worst two teams in the SEC West.

The loss to Mississippi State was a total collapse. Everything went wrong. The loss to Ole Miss was systemic. By and large, the players did what they were supposed to do. They followed their leadership, and ended up losing.

Right now, what's different between the 2016 Aggies and the 2011 Aggies? The coach is better paid, the stadium is nicer and the conference is cooler. But A&M continues to go out and play complacent, uninspired football at critical times. Instead of getting better during the season, they get worse. It happened in 2013. It happened in 2014. It happened last year and it's happening again now. The players have changed. The coordinators have changed. The head coach is the single constant.

Kevin Sumlin has said himself that everything starts with him. Ok, let's take the man at his word. If he's aware of the situation, why has the same story played out year after year? Why the same repeated problems? Why does the offense become conservative and stagnate after getting big leads, and why does an aggressive defense top attacking?

More importantly, why do these teams all seem to get rudderless down the stretch? Right now, you can't blame anyone who thinks that the Aggies were getting more leadership from a 23-year-old transfer quarterback than they were from a $10 million coaching staff.

By the time Mike Sherman got the gate, his players were upset and frustrated, they played confused and the fan base was dismayed. It sure seems like we're headed that way again, but it's all the more painful because they're about two minutes, or one decent defensive stop, from being in the playoff chase. Instead, they're a punchline.

Again.

9-3
I said before the season that Kevin Sumlin needed 9 wins this year to feel like his job was secure. Right now, A&M has 7 and two games left. I have believed that to be the case all year and, from what I heard over the weekend, I don't have any reason to alter that.

I talked to a number of donors who we will describe as quite well off and connected, and they were all livid Sunday. One came out and said there was "no support" for Sumlin among the fellow BMAs he had talked to. That may be a bit (or a lot) harsh, but it gives you the idea of the mindset after the last two losses.

8-4 is treading water. This year was supposed to show marked improvement, not the same old same. Since Johnny Manziel left, A&M is 0-3 against Alabama, 1-2 against Mississippi State, 0-3 against Ole Miss and 0-2 against LSU with the Tigers coming to town Thanksgiving night.

Last year, Les Miles was coaching for his job. This year, you may have TWO coaches -- Sumlin and Ed Orgeron -- playing for theirs. Let's be clear: LSU elites don't want Orgeron but may have their hands forced. A&M's elites have had about enough of Sumlin, from what's been said since Saturday, but you don't fire a guy who has a shot at 10 wins. It's foolish and counterproductive -- after all, if you want progress, isn't that a clear sign?

So, it's all up to Sumlin to prove that he's got this thing going in the right direction. His team is still capable of pulling out of this swan dive, but winning out seems almost imperative. If he goes 8-4 again, that's playing with real fire.

Fundamentals (clap, clap, clapclapclap)
This afternoon, I had lunch with a site member who will remain nameless, but he brought something up that I hadn't noticed. He said a couple of people he'd talked to had picked up on a couple of things: first, A&M's linebackers are doing something fundamentally wrong off the snap and two, the offensive linemen are still giving away what the playcall is.

I went back, and he was right. Now, to explain.

As was pointed out to him by a very, very good defensive player Saturday, "the linebackers need to key on the guards. The guards will tell you where the play's going." In other words, don't try to follow the ball or read the quarterback's eyes. Key on the guards.

A&M's guys aren't doing that. They're following the ball, and that gets them out of position. The guy who does that least is Claude George, who is normally just a kamikaze right into the middle of the line. Sumlin may not like that much, but it's been about as effective as anything they've tried in the past month.

On the offensive side of the ball, pass plays are being given up by the linemen (mostly the tackles) having their outside foot back for pass plays and having their feet even for runs. That's one of the big reasons, I would guess, that Ole Miss held up against the two wide, two tight set Saturday night. The Rebels shot through and blew up most of A&M's counter plays because the linemen were getting in behind Jermaine Eleumunor or Keaton Sutherland (who were pulling) and getting to the backs.

In other words, they were keying on the guards.

Could two quarterbacks hold the keys to A&M's decision-making?

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Jarrett Stidham will make his decision in Mid-December.

If the Aggies go 8-4, there's not much you can say about the product on the field that could save Kevin Sumlin's job. Four straight November swoons would be really tough to justify and excuse.

But what about off it? That could be the thing that alters the equation. The Aggies have possibly the nation's best 2017 QB in Kellen Mond and are after the guy who was possibly 2015's best, Jarrett Stidham.

Mond, as he has been for months, is solid to A&M and has already signed his financial aid paperwork. He intends to arrive at the mid-term. Whether a change in coaching would alter that isn't known, but Sumlin personally recruited him. You'd have to think it would be an issue.

Stidham, the former Baylor quarterback, has kept his options very quiet. We've heard that A&M, LSU and Auburn were the top contenders, and I heard today for the first time a couple of people say they've got a clue on where he was leaning: A&M. That, of course, would be a massive coup for the Aggies, because they'd bring in a guy (maybe for just a season) who could put up huge numbers in Noel Mazzone's system. He can run (not quite as well as Knight) and can throw far better.

So if you're the people in charge of things, do the hopes of getting Mond, Anthony Hinds, Stidham and Santino Marchiol, among others, on campus sway your thinking? That sure would make a football team better in a big way.

The idea of making a coaching change is never an easy one. In A&M's case, it could be an extremely difficult one with no clear answer. But the next month (or months) will be fascinating to watch play out.
AggieYell.com - Monday Thoughts
 
When a true freshman in his first start makes better adjustments than a staff making more than $20 million, you've got a real problem.
Welcome to Texas A&M.

For the second consecutive week, the Aggies have inexplicably come out and blown a game against an inferior opponent from Mississippi. Last week, you could say a lot if it was on the players. This week, it is without question on the coaches.

After a strong and impressive first half, the Aggies went into their shell on both sides of the football and blew a game they had in hand. 23 points in the fourth quarter is not only astounding, it's inexcusable.

Shea Patterson had never taken a collegiate snap before tonight. He was 25-42 for 338 yards and 2 TDs, and ran for another 64. Ole Miss put up 490 yards of offense to A&M's 342. Against one of the worst rush defenses in creation, the Aggies netted 129 yards. That's it.

The Aggies were not really out-played tonight. They were, however, out-schemed and out-coached.

First off, there's no reason A&M should have had the offensive line alignment it had. Koda Martin has played well all year and Colton Prater hasn't taken a college snap at tackle. It backfired terribly. Keaton Sutherland was really bad at left guard, and Ole Miss just blew up the A&M line every time they tried to run a counter. Run it straight up the gut? Did that for one series and scored. Then abandoned it entirely. The game turned when they tried to get cute and have Hubenak sneak the ball from under center. Everyone knew what was coming. Hubenak's not Trevor Knight. It was a terrible call.

This was a Keith Ford game. He got 8 carries. Trayveon Williams, who kept on trying to get out to the edge, where Ole Miss has their strength, had 17.

Jake Hubenak threw the ball extremely well medium to deep in the first half. They completely abandoned that, too, in the second half in favor of the dink and dunk, east-west garbage that hasn't worked in months. The 4-yard loss to Christian Kirk was a killer. It was just completely inept.

On defense, a good performance in the first half disintegrated. They got no help, but the good tackling vanished, the aggressive playcalling largely went away and Patterson, who looked like he adapted and learned as the game went on. A&M's coaching staff didn't.

There were a lot of decisions I simply do not understand. Claude George and Richard Moore worked great together in the first half, and Shaan Washington was really bad. So the second half came around and Moore was nowhere to be seen. A&M knew they'd have to deal with a mobile QB again and, after a strong first half, totally lost containment and frequently looked clueless.

Some of the biggest issues in the game had to do with clock management. With A&M's offense rolling in the second quarter, A&M had the ball back with around a minute to go and two timeouts. Instead of trying to push Ole Miss and extend the lead, the Aggies decided to head to the locker room up 21-6. That was a mistake at the time and it was deadly at the end. The use of the timeouts at the end of the game was even worse. A&M should have had a minute or so to go, but the timeouts weren't used well and they got the ball back with 37 seconds left.

When Ole Miss started to rally, you got the sense A&M wasn't going to be able to counter it. Not that the players couldn't, but they weren't going to help they needed from the sideline. They made mistakes, but the bigger blunders weren't on them. And when you get that point, and you've already changed coordinators, there's only one person left to shoulder the blame.
AggieYell.com - Aggies falter in 4th, lose 29-28
 
A&M is not Texas, Bama, Ohio State, etc despite what they may think. Sumlin might be the best they can hope for. He's a superb recruiter and at times a brilliant on field coach. His consistency is horrible.

Be careful what you wish for Aggies - you may not like what you would get instead.
 
I do not know what people see in him. If you take Manziel out of the equation Sumlin has done absolutely nothing there. And I believe he has a losing conference record at home. I hope they keep him.
 
they really need to run the ball more and play field position. too many quick possessions/punts. They are wasting a lot of opportunities to move the ball in favor of passing for longer distances. i don't get their scheme on offense...

On defense, they looked OK early in the year but folded after a couple of losses. You can tell the team is done.... sad
 
Keying on the guards doesn't always work. The LB keys will vary with the offense.

Agreed! Depending on the offenses we faced when I coached HS, I would have the LBs cross key the RBs. Mike would have the FB, LOLB had the opposite back and ROLB had the back opposite of him. Other offenses, we read the hats of guards, OLBs read the hats of tackles/ends.
 
He cashed in at the right time. Rabid fan base, new to the SEC, deep donors funding a big time stadium upgrade, Manziel, Heisman, beat Alabama.

Don't underestimate Texas A&M's little brother syndrome, they'd love to undermine a potential Texas hire. To me, there are only 2 things Texas has better than Texas A&M, the city of Austin and the ability to win the Big XII. Texas A&M has way more upside though, even though they're playing in the toughest division in College football.
 
Hate it for the man that this debate keeps coming up. I really like Mr. Sumlin - he is a class act.

Having said that, I don't know why this keeps happening. Earlier in the season, they looked unbeatable - they were my biggest concern for us. Why can't they sustain it? Is it that other teams figure them out? Is it an erosion of execution? Is it lack of depth? Don't know.
 
Hate it for the man that this debate keeps coming up. I really like Mr. Sumlin - he is a class act.

Having said that, I don't know why this keeps happening. Earlier in the season, they looked unbeatable - they were my biggest concern for us. Why can't they sustain it? Is it that other teams figure them out? Is it an erosion of execution? Is it lack of depth? Don't know.

The QB position is everything in that offense. Much like Ole Miss, best not lose your trigger man and they did. That said, that was a terrible loss at Miss St. Sumlin's problem going forward isn't whether he's a good coach, more like, is he a 5 million dollar good coach.
 
I watched a snippet of Sumlin, Mazzone, and Chavis being interviewed yesterday, and you can tell those guys are beat just by looking at them. It's obvious.
 
Sounds like some upheaval is coming.

all they need to do is look at auburn on what NOT to do regarding coaching hires and immediate success.

too many times, these days, people are impatient and want everything now, now now. they don't want to wait on results. they want to hire the best coach to do the best job and get their program to the top of the pile.

well, all i gotta say is.....


YOU CAN'T HAVE HIM!
 
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