šŸˆ SEC title game predictions

It's all come down to this. A Missouri team that has been under the radar all season -- it doesn't help when you lose at home to Indiana, guys -- has a chance to play spoiler and potentially knock the SEC out of the College Football Playoff all together. But will it happen? Our experts certainly don't think so. It's a clean sweep for Alabama this week as they all expect the Crimson Tide to roll into the playoff.

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Edward Aschoff: These are the kinds of games coach Nick Saban thrives in. He's 8-1 in conference or national championship tilts. Yes, Missouri is hot and has taken a cue from Alabama by winning without flash, but the Crimson Tide are just more talented on both sides of the ball. Mizzou's defensive line will pose threats to Bama's offense, but who is going to cover Amari Cooper? Blake Sims will make plays with his legs and the running duo of T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry will wear down that defensive front. Also, expect Alabama's defense to force Mizzou QB Maty Mauk to make a few mistakes, as the Crimson Tide roll into the College Football Playoff.
~Alabama 27, Missouri 14

David Ching: I picked against Missouri in each of the past four games, against teams (Kentucky, Texas A&M, Tennessee and Arkansas) that were a combined 24-24 overall this season. I was wrong all four times, but that doesn’t mean I’m changing my tune with Mizzou facing arguably the best team in the nation on Saturday. As an Auburn grad, it would amuse me if my negative Missouri juju continues for another weekend, but it won’t. Alabama’s defense will have its way with a subpar Tigers offense and the Crimson Tide's well-rounded offense will make enough plays to win against a stout Mizzou defense. ~Alabama 31, Missouri 17

Sam Khan Jr.: I think Missouri is going to be more competitive in this game than most other opponents. The Tigers' outstanding pass rush should make things interesting on that end, and offensively, they have the one-two punch of Russell Hansbrough and Marcus Murphy at running back, a nice collection of receivers for Mauk to throw to, and Alabama showed last week it can be thrown on. However, Missouri hasn't played a team as good as Alabama this season, and the way Sims played after throwing three interceptions last week is a huge confidence boost for that offense. Arkansas gave Missouri headaches last week and Alabama is a better team than the Hogs from top to bottom, including a better quarterback, so I have to give the nod to Nick Saban's crew.
~Alabama 29, Missouri 20

Chris Low: Well, here is Mizzou again, back in the SEC championship game for the second straight season. It's a tribute to the job coach Gary Pinkel and his staff have done. It's not like the Tigers rake in a bunch of four- and five-star prospects every year. They have been a load on defense this season, and the pass-rushing combo of Shane Ray and Markus Golden is as good as it gets. But Alabama has the depth and athleticism on defense to make Missouri one-dimensional and put too much of the burden on Mauk's shoulders. The Tide won't run away with it, but Cooper (how is the guy always open?) will make a big play in the second half to break the game open and lock up Alabama's spot in the playoff.
~Alabama 34, Missouri 20

Greg Ostendorf: Nick Perry said it best. If Alabama is clicking on offense like it was in the second half against Auburn, this team is scary. Sims was exceptional down the stretch, Cooper did what he always does and Yeldon had a quiet 127 yards. If that team shows up at the Georgia Dome on Saturday, it could be a long night for Missouri. The Tigers hung with Auburn in last season's SEC title game, but this is a much better Alabama defense they’re facing, and they’re not as equipped this time to keep up in a shootout.
~Alabama 38, Missouri 17

Alex Scarborough: It's easy to look at Missouri and say it's a similar spread offense that can mimic what Auburn did to amass 630 yards against Alabama. It would be easy, but wrong. Auburn goes north-south and is predicated on running between the tackles. Missouri is not. Going east-west with scatbacks like Hansbrough (190 pounds) and Murphy (195) isn't likely to have much success. Alabama's defense is just too athletic. With that said, I wouldn't be surprised if Bud Sasser and Jimmie Hunt have big games catching the football for Missouri. But in spite of that and the spectacular pass-rush tandem of Ray and Golden, it won't be enough.
~Alabama 31, Missouri 20



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The only comparison we have is the Mizzou game in 2012.

Mauk > Berkstresser is the first thing that comes to mind.

The combination of Sasser and Hunt are putting up better numbers than Moe and Washington did in 2012 with the caveat of competition played against weighing heavily in my mind.

Hansbrough and Lawrence vs Hansbrough and Murphy? I'm not sure how to look at that except I trust our run defense as much, if not more, than the one fielded in 2012.

I'm not one that throws scores out there. In terms of how I'm playing this in the Sportsbook I'm going LARGE over the 48.5 but shying away from Bama -14.5.
 
The Tide has to come out ready to play and not wait until after halftime to turn the engine on the motor. Missouri is not a walk in the park with that defensive front and a QB that can toss the ball around. Bama wins this game by playing 4 full quarters of football.
 
I expect a lot of screens to avoid the pressure of their front. I also expect the RBs to run exactly how they did in the Iron Bowl. Mike, I agree; it might take four quarters, but Bama's depth is too much for Mizzou to overcome. Bama, 38 - 17.
 
The Tide has to come out ready to play and not wait until after halftime to turn the engine on the motor. Missouri is not a walk in the park with that defensive front and a QB that can toss the ball around. Bama wins this game by playing 4 full quarters of football.

Last week I mentioned it was my thought Mauk has a better chance of going "Garcia" than Mason (UGA) in the SECCG. But, we still have to keep that in perspective.

He's only completing 53.5 % of his passes this season and for every two TD's he's thrown he's been picked off once. (22:11) A 2 to 1 TD to INT ration doesn't look great, doesn't look bad, but the ugly truth of that comes out when you see it's a 14:4 ration in their non-conference games.

Have you guys done the math on that yet? In conference play, 8 TD's, 7 INT's.

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I believe if we get a 3 TD lead, Saban will have Kiffin bleed the clock and simply run the ball. I think this will be the case because it is an old friend on the other sideline.

Agree. It'll wind up 45 - 6 in a game that could have been much worse. Lots of backups in the second half.
 
Last week I mentioned it was my thought Mauk has a better chance of going "Garcia" than Mason (UGA) in the SECCG. But, we still have to keep that in perspective.

He's only completing 53.5 % of his passes this season and for every two TD's he's thrown he's been picked off once. (22:11) A 2 to 1 TD to INT ration doesn't look great, doesn't look bad, but the ugly truth of that comes out when you see it's a 14:4 ration in their non-conference games.

Have you guys done the math on that yet? In conference play, 8 TD's, 7 INT's.

View attachment 4101

And half of the 8 TDs against Kentucky and Vandy. No TDs and 4 of the INTs against UGA.
 
garcia factor is the deal. without a garcia game from mauk, they will not win.

the only thing scary about mizzou is that they appear to be peaking now whereas our team is arguably in need of rest and recoup
 
I know Mizzou has won 6 straight but I don't know if I would agree with "PEAKING AT THE RIGHT TIME" when describing Mizzou. In those 6 wins, they have won by an average of 11.8 points against 6-6 Florida(29pts), 3-9 Vandy(10pts), 5-7 Kentucky(10pts), 7-5 Texas A&M(7pts), 6-6 Tenn(8pts), and 6-6 Arky(7pts). Take out the pasting of Florida and the average drops to 8.4 point difference.
Mauk will have to have a "Garcia game" and we will have to get lost on our way to the stadium.
 
A day before kickoff, the predictions are rolling in for the SEC Championship Game.
Though it's not a consensus, it's pretty close. Alabama was the pick by 32 of the 33 national writers surveyed before the Crimson Tide meets Missouri at 3 p.m. CT Saturday in Atlanta.

CBS Sports

Dennis Dodd: Alabama

Jon Solomon: Alabama

Jerry Palm: Alabama

Tom Fornelli: Alabama

Jerry Hinnen: Alabama

Chip Patterson: Alabama

ESPN

Edward Aschoff: Alabama

David Ching: Alabama

Sam Khan Jr.: Alabama

Chris Low: Alabama

Greg Ostendorf: Alabama

Alex Scarborough: Alabama

Sporting News

Teddy Greenstein, Chicago Tribune: Alabama

Cory McCartney, Fox Sports: Alabama

Mike Griffith, MLive.com: Alabama

Ken Bradley, Sporting News: Alabama

Bill Bender, Sporting News: Alabama

Matt Hayes, Sporting News: Alabama

Dave Matter, St. Louis Post-Dispatch: Alabama

Sports Illustrated

Andy Staples: Alabama

Pete Thamel: Alabama

Thayer Evans: Missouri

Zac Ellis: Alabama

Martin Rickman: Alabama

Lindsay Schnell: Alabama

Brian Hamilton: Alabama

Ben Glicksman: Alabama

USA Today

Nicole Auerbach: Alabama

Paul Myerberg: Alabama

George Schroeder: Alabama

Erick Smith: Alabama

Eddie Timanus: Alabama

Dan Uthman: Alabama

Dan Wolken: Alabama

Continue reading...
 
I know Mizzou has won 6 straight but I don't know if I would agree with "PEAKING AT THE RIGHT TIME" when describing Mizzou. In those 6 wins, they have won by an average of 11.8 points against 6-6 Florida(29pts), 3-9 Vandy(10pts), 5-7 Kentucky(10pts), 7-5 Texas A&M(7pts), 6-6 Tenn(8pts), and 6-6 Arky(7pts). Take out the pasting of Florida and the average drops to 8.4 point difference.
Mauk will have to have a "Garcia game" and we will have to get lost on our way to the stadium.
:agree:
 
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