🏈 More looks at 3rd down conversions

[psychojoe]

http://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/701/p2

The first statistic on the link attached shows a team's success in converting 3rd downs on offense. This is important because converting means that your team keeps the ball.

The second stat shows success rates of defenses denying a 3rd down conversion, which is important because it gets your defense off the field. For comparison purposes I have charted the SEC West teams below. The first column is the 3rd down conversion percentage on office, the second the percentage of 3rd down conversions of their defense. The third column represents the difference in these two totals, which should give us a crude measure of the team's power.

Alabama 63.0 24.0 +39.0
Auburn 58.3 36.1 +22.2
Texas A&M 53.0 33.7 +19.3
Ole Myth 52.7 27.8 +24.9
Arkansas 49.1 41.1 +8.0
LSU 41.9 27.0 +14.9
Miss. State 40.7 26.2 +14.5

 

[psychojoe]

Looking at the SEC East:

Georgia 37.0 32.3 +4.7
S Car 40.6 43.3 -2.7
Tenn 41.4 20.8 +20.6
Vandy 29.5 43.4 -13.9
Missouri 39.2 32.5 +6.7
Florida 34.0 45.7 -11.7
Ky. 44.6 26.3 +18.3

 

[psychojoe]

Using the numbers, the SEC teams rank as follows:

1. Alabama 39.0
2. Ole Miss 24.9
3. Auburn 22.2
4. Tennessee 20.6
5. aTm. 19.3
6. LSU 14.9
7. Miss. St. 14.5
8. Ky. 12.3
9. Ark. 8.0
10. Missouri 6.7
11. Georgia 4.7
12. S. Car -2.7
13. Florida -11.7
14. Vandy -13.9

 

[bamafan4ever]

Very cool, PJ!

 

[psychojoe]

While this is somewhat skewed because of early season cupcakes, it does tell us some things.

1. A lot of South Carolina's troubles are due to their defense not being able to get off the field.

2. Tennessee's defense is actually pretty good.

3. Florida's offense is pretty bad. Their defense is not as bad as the stats from our game made it look.

4. Vanderbilt is really bad on offense.

I will continue to track these statistics, and we'll see how they change over the next few weeks.

 

[planomateo]

Give this site a look, I think its better than the NCAA site as you can break it down by conference.

Offensive 3rd down conversions.
http://www.cfbstats.com/2014/leader/911/team/offense/split01/category25/sort01.html

Opponents 3rd down conversions (from the Defensive perspective)
http://www.cfbstats.com/2014/leader/911/team/defense/split01/category25/sort01.html