🏈 Giving up on Alabama as CFB Playoff threat is a bad idea (MERGED: USA TODAY bowl predictions )

The dynasty’s not over for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

At least not yet.

Everyone voices their opinion after spotlight losses, notably Colin Cowherd and AJ McCarronthis week, but Nick Saban’s paid handsomely — a college football-leading $6.9 million this season — to make sure things don’t go South.

A disturbing trend for Alabama, however, is its recent ineptitude against ranked teams, beginning with the kick-six at Auburn followed by an embarrassing bowl loss to Oklahoma. Saban’s squad didn’t look prepared for that one and even worse, got torched by Bob Stoops, a coach who runs his mouth often about the SEC.

Loaded with talent on both sides of the football, it’s premature to dismiss Alabama as a College Football Playoff threat. This season has played out exactly like we expected following the weekend loss to Ole Miss, the Crimson Tide’s first true road game and hint of adversity this fall.

Saturday was the Rebels’ time and Hugh Freeze’s squad executed to near perfection down the stretch. Alabama needed a mistake-free game as a narrow favorite, but neglected to follow the small details necessary to win in the SEC.

That’s been the issue during Saban’s slide against quality competition, a faulty kicking game and a minus-4 turnover margin. At the moment, special teams play could keep an otherwise impressive team away from a meaningful games(s) after the regular season.

Alabama’s suffered five losses since the start of the 2011 season and in those defeats, the Crimson Tide have missed 11 field goals.

Of course, there’s still plenty to be thankful for in Tuscaloosa.

By SEC West standards, Alabama’s schedule is somewhat favorable the rest of the way in college football’s toughest division. The Crimson Tide get West frontrunner Mississippi State and Auburn at home and a road trip to LSU no longer looks as challenging as it did in August.

There’s the personnel advantage too.

Outside of the Iron Bowl matchup, Alabama’s depth exceeds the other elites and Burton Burns’ stable of running backs is comparable to any team’s group in the country. Blanketed on Saturday and held under 100 yards for the first time in his last six games, Amari Cooper’s more talented than any cornerback he’ll face over his team’s final seven contests and the Crimson Tide defense is the nation’s third-best at just 264.8 yards per game.

Before the Ole Miss game, Alabama looked the part as a SEC favorite, destroying Florida two weeks prior with a record-setting offensive explosion. Does a road loss to a now Top 10 team change that? It’s makes the road more challenging, but not impossible.

Alabama’s been there before while the Rebels — and remaining league unbeaten Mississippi State — hasn’t. Auburn’s the pivotal matchup, one that will decide where this season ends.

If you’re looking at a one-loss wild-card to reach the Playoff this fall, it’ll be Alabama if the Crimson Tide get it together in the kicking game.
 
One of the craziest college football weekends in recent history has created major uncertainty for the College Football Playoff projection.

Auburn, Mississippi and Mississippi State are all unbeaten in the SEC West. However, they still have to play each other, and the Tigers and Bulldogs must face Alabama on the road. As a result, the one-loss Tide remains as the projected SEC champ, but it has no margin for error.

Florida State remains in the playoff field with newcomers Baylor and Michigan State, which both benefited from others’ losses over the weekend. The Bears and Spartans, however, likely need to win out and wait for the unavoidable carnage in the SEC and Pac-12.

A reminder: The projection is based on what the situation will be on Dec. 7. A major fight is brewing between conference champions with one loss and possible non-division winners with one or two losses. The Playoff selection committee is going to have a major challenge sorting it out. More will be known when it releases its first top 25 ranking on Oct. 28.

Some conferences may not fulfill their allotment. Asterisks denote a replacement pick.

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USA TODAY BOWL PROJECTIONS:
 
HA!

whatever.. This Alabama team hasn't shown that they are ready to play in any type of playoff. Not that there are that many other teams that have either, but we have to get the sloppiness and penalties cleaned up if we want to win 9 games much less go to the playoffs. Right now i think were playing like a 2nd tier bowl team.
 
I'm not sure there's any reason to actually look it up, so I'll go out on a limb and and ask if we've ever lost to Ole Miss and Miss St in the same year? I'm assuming no. Prescott does scare me a little as we have trouble tackling mobile qb's and even more problem defending against their pass game. aTm's defense is putrid, but I'm gonna assume we'll again need to outscore them. LSU will play their best game of the year against us. And if we make it through that gauntlet and get by an extremely talented and loaded Western Carolina team that is bound to be highly ranked in late November, we get Auburn.

So, assuming we can get through unscathed before Auburn, which I'm not convinced of, again, our season comes down to the importance of the Auburn game. It's not just another game, people.
 
it is true that if we win out we will be ranked ahead of Ole Miss if they eventually lose 1 game. They go to the SECCG... we both likely go to the playoffs. *hoping for 2 losses for Ole Siss*
 
it is true that if we win out we will be ranked ahead of Ole Miss if they eventually lose 1 game. They go to the SECCG... we both likely go to the playoffs. *hoping for 2 losses for Ole Siss*
I don't see any way they make it through without a couple of losses, frankly.
 
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