| FTBL Game simulations: 2012 Tide versus the other 15 BCSNC winners.

TerryP

Staff



2012 Alabama vs. Last 15 NCAA Football Champions

RankTeamWin%Avg. PPGSimulate vs. Alabama
12012 Alabama Crimson Tide83.529.0SimMatchup >
22011 Alabama Crimson Tide72.633.7SimMatchup >
32004 USC Trojans70.932.6SimMatchup >
42001 Miami (FL) Hurricanes68.533.4SimMatchup >
52009 Alabama Crimson Tide68.231.1SimMatchup >
62008 Florida Gators59.630.8SimMatchup >
72005 Texas Longhorns58.229.1SimMatchup >
81999 Florida State Seminoles46.927.0SimMatchup >
92000 Oklahoma Sooners40.225.2SimMatchup >
102006 Florida Gators36.023.3SimMatchup >
112003 LSU Tigers35.524.3SimMatchup >
121998 Tennessee Volunteers34.324.2SimMatchup >
132002 Ohio State Buckeyes28.122.8SimMatchup >
142007 LSU Tigers26.023.6SimMatchup >
152010 Auburn Tigers21.425.3SimMatchup >

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Nick Saban has created a dynasty at Alabama, winning three BCS National Championships in the last four years, and the 2012 edition may be the school's best yet. The Crimson Tide began the season 9-0, including wins over ranked opponents Michigan, Mississippi State and LSU, before falling to Heisman winner Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M. A win over Georgia in the SEC Championship secured a BCS National Championship berth, where Alabama routed Notre Dame.

But how does Alabama compare to past champions? Using our college football simulation engine, we placed the Crimson Tide's 2012 team in a round-robin tournament against every team of the BCS era, dating back to 1998.


Alabama romped through the simulation, placing three teams in the top five. The current squad claimed top honors by winning 83.5 percent of simulated games despite averaging the seventh-most points.


The simulation engine, which takes into account the statistical makeup of each team, was impressed by Alabama's offensive effectiveness and defensive prowess. A dominant offensive line enabled the Crimson Tide to average 5.6 yards per rush as a team, sixth nationally this year. Eddie Lacy and T.J. Yeldon combined for 2,430 yards on the ground and 29 end-zone excursions.


While AJ McCarron threw for just 209.5 yards per game in 2012, his 175.3 quarterback rating led the country. McCarron was ultra-efficient, completing 67.2 percent of passes with 30 touchdowns and three interceptions.


The real catalyst for Alabama's most recent national championship run was a suffocating defense that surrendering just 10.9 points and 250 yards per game, both the fewest in the nation. Opposing rushers averaged 2.4 yards per carry, while opposing quarterbacks completed 54.7 percent of passes and combined to throw eight touchdowns and 18 interceptions




You can change matchups with their simulations by clicking the links above.
 
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