Florida State....good talent and good coaching staff and all but they're not at the elite stature everyone has them set out to be.
I picked Oklahoma to win it all actually. After last years dismal season, they have the motivation, the right QB, and many key components coming back to be a real contender. Think about it, all they're hearing right now is how good USC, LSU, Oregon, and really Bama is going to be and which of them are going to be playing for the National Title. Very favorable schedule (IMO Texas is still not back..), no conference championship gives them a week off. I like Oklahoma's chances.
I choose Oklahoma over LSU in the National Championship.