One of my favorite Coach Bryant stories goes like this:
When asked what he meant when he said that a player had "Potential", Coach Bryant said "...some day he can be something special, but right now he ain't worth a damn."
That said, with everyone in the West (save MSU) having HC and/or Coordinator changes, not to mention player questions, one can only say that all the teams simply have potential. All things being equal, we have a 1 in 6 chance of winning the west. But all things are not equal.
In our favor is our having CNS. In time, we win the "intangible" tie-breaker. However, I have yet to be shown that we are where we need to be to justify that. We could be, but I have not seen it yet.
Working against us are the number of road games we have against strong opponents: Away vs. top 15 teams Tennessee, LSU, and Georgia; Home vs. top 10 Auburn. Not yet proven ourselves to be winners on the road in this kind of game, I can only offer a fan's faith and wishful thinking to chalk these up as "W"s.
Until proven different, I still think we will come away with 8 wins, but will be able to hold our heads high in the loses. If the road games were home games, I would be optimistic that we would see 10 wins this year.