I'm aware. It still gives me no reason to think Cut is going to try to take the air out of the ball.
The ONLY way I see Duke trying to slow down the game is because their quarterback transition fails miserably in fall camp. That said, betting against Cut and QB development? There is little value there.
Speaking of value ...
You're thinking along the same lines as I was when I read over this thread yesterday. I certainly don't believe they are looking at this game as a 63-29 win (covering both.) I don't believe it's a "sucker bet" as well. Personally, the value I see today is on the under but there's a few things that come into play. As example, how many true freshman will we see with the new four game rule in place? It's my view Saban will be looking for consistency from the back-ups late in the game which would allow Duke a few points that are meaningless.
(On a side note, one of the game storylines should be the Duke defense. They return a lot in their back seven but have question marks in the front four. Little pash rush is expected leaving me wondering if they can defend the running game. It leads me to also consider we may be looking at Bama running (versus the normal wide open attack) as they seek cohesiveness along the offensive line.)