Max
Member
I got this note a few min ago and not sure where it is from. A good look at the rest of the season.
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UA is 5-4 and frankly is one second away from being 6-3. That loss to TAMU was bad but it was somewhat balanced out by the win over a red hot UK team.
UA has played the 1st, 3rd, and 5th place teams on the road in conference play, as well as 2nd place team (UK) at home. It has also played another team tied for 5th place (OM) at home and beaten them, and has beaten an MSU team that while 4-5 in conference play (has also played a very tough SEC slate so far), is 16-6 overall and is in top 40 in Net rankings.
We've played three of the bottom dwellers, beaten two of them solidly, and had buzzer beater loss to TAMU. No one in the conference has played that tough a slate so far.
Looking at the next nine games, I'm not going to worry greatly about the road game at MSU or the road game at Arkansas. We "Can" win those games, but we won't be reasonably expected to win them. The South Carolina game is IMO pivotal. It is on the road. USC has a 6-3 record in league play and has been playing better overall, but they are .500 team right now. It is reasonable to at least think we can steal a road win there. That is a double pivotal thing for us. Road win and it helps put us ahead of them for seeding in the SECT. I like that we have road games against Vandy and TAMU and a home game against UF. I think we should win all three of those games and it will be disappointing if we don't.
That leaves the LSU and AU games at Tuscaloosa. We should at worst split those games. AU is not nearly as good on the road (1-5 away from Auburn), and our fans will be geeked up for that one. LSU has been solid on the road but we will have a chance to win that one too. But a split of those two home games is enough if we take care of business in the other games we "should" win.
I think 6-3 is very doable, and 5-4 should be expected. And if we did get hot, 7-2 is on the outside of possible. But this team has to play maturely and play hard nosed ball down the stretch, something Avery's teams have not done a lot in the month of February since he got to UA.
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UA is 5-4 and frankly is one second away from being 6-3. That loss to TAMU was bad but it was somewhat balanced out by the win over a red hot UK team.
UA has played the 1st, 3rd, and 5th place teams on the road in conference play, as well as 2nd place team (UK) at home. It has also played another team tied for 5th place (OM) at home and beaten them, and has beaten an MSU team that while 4-5 in conference play (has also played a very tough SEC slate so far), is 16-6 overall and is in top 40 in Net rankings.
We've played three of the bottom dwellers, beaten two of them solidly, and had buzzer beater loss to TAMU. No one in the conference has played that tough a slate so far.
Looking at the next nine games, I'm not going to worry greatly about the road game at MSU or the road game at Arkansas. We "Can" win those games, but we won't be reasonably expected to win them. The South Carolina game is IMO pivotal. It is on the road. USC has a 6-3 record in league play and has been playing better overall, but they are .500 team right now. It is reasonable to at least think we can steal a road win there. That is a double pivotal thing for us. Road win and it helps put us ahead of them for seeding in the SECT. I like that we have road games against Vandy and TAMU and a home game against UF. I think we should win all three of those games and it will be disappointing if we don't.
That leaves the LSU and AU games at Tuscaloosa. We should at worst split those games. AU is not nearly as good on the road (1-5 away from Auburn), and our fans will be geeked up for that one. LSU has been solid on the road but we will have a chance to win that one too. But a split of those two home games is enough if we take care of business in the other games we "should" win.
I think 6-3 is very doable, and 5-4 should be expected. And if we did get hot, 7-2 is on the outside of possible. But this team has to play maturely and play hard nosed ball down the stretch, something Avery's teams have not done a lot in the month of February since he got to UA.
