🏈 68% chance you'll be playing for a new coach... 86%/88% new OC/DC

[planomateo]

When someone talks about head coaching changes in college and how it impacts a recruit, there is always someone say that its not fair to the kid. As the kid committed to the coach and not the school and they are the ones getting hung out to dry (cause a college education is worthless...insert sarcasm).

This is a pretty telling statistic - which I'm referring to the data here (unverified)

here is the meat/potatoes of the article

So think about this. If you signed a scholarship to play college football at an FBS program in 2009, there is a 68% chance that you are playing for a new head coach, an 86% chance that you are playing for a new offensive coordinator, and an 88% chance that you are playing for a new defensive coordinator.

Here is one final eye-opening statistic for all the wide-eyed high school recruits getting wooed by their favorite coach or coordinator. In the last 4 years (2009-2012), only eight FBS teams (roughly 7%) have had the same head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator for all four years from 2009-2012.

First moral of the story? DON’T CHOOSE A SCHOOL BASED ON WHO THE COACHES ARE BECAUSE THEY PROBABLY WON’T BE YOUR COACHES FOR TOO LONG.

Second moral of the story? IF YOU ARE AN ATHLETIC DIRECTOR, YOU HAD BETTER BE PREPARED TO HIRE A NEW COACH OVER THE NEXT FOUR YEARS AND IF YOU ARE NOT USING DATA AND STATISTICS TO CONTINUALLY UPDATE YOUR SHORT LIST OF REPLACEMENTS, THEN SHAME ON YOU.

Disclaimer: we know that four new teams have joined the FBS for 2012, but we assume 120 FBS teams for “apples-to-apples” comparisons.

http://coachesbythenumbers.com/the-article-every-high-school-football-recruit-should-read/

Terry - this could be a twitter feed worth adding
@CoachesBTN

 

[psychojoe]

Interesting stat. Just looking at the SEC,, only five of the present 12 have the same HC they had in 2008. That means 58.3 % of the players who signed then would have seen a new HC by now.Coordinators moving is more liekly, as these are most often aspiring young coaches looking for HC jobs. Since the HC change at Kentucky was due to retirement, you could say that only 50% of the SEC HC changes were due to firing. None lost to job hopping.