I think realistically each team will be the best team the other has played all year. I just believe in Saban and his ability to find the advantage and the players ability to execute it. Hard for me to believe he will not find a way to make the Freshman make a mistake. The O-lines vs D-lines will be key (duh).
His record this year on Gameday sucked, especially for a guy that runs all of these algorithems, throws out all of these stats and history. The main reason he is there is for his betting acumen.