š 2016 SEC Tournament
- Thread starter TerryP
- Start date
I ran across this tweet that grabbed my attention. A few weeks ago if someone would have suggested this team had a shot at getting a Thursday bye I'd have likely said that expectation was a stretch.
I can't say whether this is right or not ... getting into the tie-breakers for seeding in the tourney with six games left?!?!? I don't want the headache.
ā¢02/17/16
at LSU *
Baton Rouge, La. 8:00 p.m. CT
ā¢02/20/16
vs. Mississippi State *
Tuscaloosa, Ala. 1:30 p.m. CT
ā¢02/23/16
at Kentucky *
Lexington, Ky. 6:00 p.m. CT
ā¢02/27/16
vs. Auburn *
Tuscaloosa, Ala. 4:00 p.m. CT
ā¢03/02/16
vs. Arkansas *
Tuscaloosa, Ala. 8:00 p.m. CT
ā¢03/05/16
at Georgia *
Athens, Ga. 3:00 p.m. CT
I can't say whether this is right or not ... getting into the tie-breakers for seeding in the tourney with six games left?!?!? I don't want the headache.
ā¢02/17/16
at LSU *
ā¢02/20/16
vs. Mississippi State *
ā¢02/23/16
at Kentucky *
ā¢02/27/16
vs. Auburn *
ā¢03/02/16
vs. Arkansas *
ā¢03/05/16
at Georgia *
Seems premature to me. As it stands now, we win tie breakers with aggies and gators, lose them with OM and Vandy, based on heads up play. Way too early.
To state the obvious, our most likely landing spot is with a 1st round bye, but not the double bye that a 3rd place finish would bring us.
To state the obvious, our most likely landing spot is with a 1st round bye, but not the double bye that a 3rd place finish would bring us.
The team would really have to fall apart to end up without a bye on Wednesday. If they tipped today, the Tide would be playing Ole Miss on Thursday and if they grabbed a win there we're looking at Bama vs UK on Friday.
Based on how it sits today, seeing Bama as a six or seven seed would be ideal: Arkansas or Tennessee.
Bammerboy321
Member
19-11 would put us at 10-8 in the SEC. For discussion purposes, assume we lose at LSU and at Kentucky, winning the rest of the regular season games.
This gives us 'good wins vs, Wichita State and ND on a neutral court, good road wins at Clemson and at Florida, and good home wins vs. South Carolina and aTm. IMO that puts us in regardless of how we do in the SEC tourney, although likely as an 8 0r 9 seed,
Again, IMO, 10-8 lands us anywhere from a 5-7 seed in the SEC tournament, playing anyone from the Boog/MSU winner to UT or Ark in our 1st game. We would likely be favored on a neutral court against any of those teams. One win in the SEC tourney gets us to 20, and it is hard to see us not getting a bid at 20-12, maybe as good as a seven seed.
Fun to speculate, but there will be many twists and turns between now and selection Sunday.
@psychojoe I think we were speculating weeks ago about the difference in 10-8 and 9-9. Maybe I'm being a homer, but I think 10-8 looks more likely now.
I think the Tide has the best coach in the country.
I think the Tide has the best coach in the country.
10-8 requires one more road win. The road games left are LSU, Ky and Ga. None of those are easy, but the Dawgs look like the easiest. They have underachieved a bit IMO, but they are dangerous.
Bammerboy321
Member
Hell as bad as Alabama played offensively at Florida, I wouldn't count out beating LSU. LSU's main threat is inside and pounding you in the paint. Taylor did well against Florida at defending the basket and not allowing them to score on 2nd chance opportunities.
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The standings are correct as far as overall records are concerned. Within conference play, they're still up in the air with a lot coming down to Saturday. Due to the January loss, Bama is behind Vandy. Vandy hasn't played UGA and that Bama closes out the season with UGA.
6-8 the seeds between these three teams puts this as #6 Vandy (1-0,) #7 UGA (0-0,) and Bama #8 (0-1.)
LSU might be watching how the RPI settles itself out. Without last night's game, they are sitting at #71 this morning. In the past, the highest RPI number to get an at large bid has been 67 (USC.)
6-8 the seeds between these three teams puts this as #6 Vandy (1-0,) #7 UGA (0-0,) and Bama #8 (0-1.)
LSU might be watching how the RPI settles itself out. Without last night's game, they are sitting at #71 this morning. In the past, the highest RPI number to get an at large bid has been 67 (USC.)
LSU dropped to 81, Bama up to 29.
Bammerboy321
Member
That's worth paying attention to, closely.
Both of these guys are using two different metrics. Lunardi, as an employee of ESPN, would be using the BPI as his "bible" right now. In a sense, it's no different than them talking about the football season forecasts and using their FPI.
Palm is looking at other things; RPI, Sagarin, and KenPomm which is going to give a different look at which team falls where.
Remember, we're less than a year removed from Colorado State (with a 29 RPI ranking) being left out. The committee chair mentioned they'd considered Sagarin, KenPomm, and the BPI and only used RPI as "an organizer" when they were looking at CSU.
Bammerboy321
Member
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