🏈 When it comes to turning high school talent into NFL draft picks, Vandy - not Alabama - tops list (r

[PhillyGirl]

http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2013/05/when_it_comes_to_turning_high.html

The Emory Sports Marketing Science Initiative took a look at the 2013 NFL draft to see which conferences and what individual schools turned high school talent into NFL draft picks.How did they achieve this?
According to the report:

• "We examine the average rating points (typically a function of the number of rated high school recruits in a class) by conference over the relevant recruiting periods for the 2013 NFL Draft."

In other words, the study looked at recruiting class rankings and compared those rankings to the number of players drafted. Therefore, the higher the recruiting class ranking, the larger the number of players drafted would be needed to excel in the study.
Based on the number of players selected, the SEC takes the top spot among conferences, but the Big East is second because of its "input quality." Teams in the Big East had more NFL draft picks with weaker high school talent on average.

When it comes to SEC schools, the study lists Vanderbilt as the big winner.
Why the Commodores?
"Vanderbilt by FAR had the worst rated incoming talent during this period, but they still doubled up Auburn in terms of their number of draft picks!"
The study points to Georgia and LSU having 8 and 9 draft picks, respectively, but they also averaged top-10 recruiting classes over the relevant time period.
Alabama and Florida were in the "middle of the pack" category. Even the folks at Emory pointed out that this was a surprise since the two schools had 17 drafted between them. However, based on the talented recruiting classes, the number drafted didn't correlate to the depth of talent in the recruiting class.
Auburn and Ole Miss were the two biggest losers in the draft, according to the report.
Auburn averaged a top 15 recruiting class, but produced one pick. Ole Miss averaged a top 25 class, and had no picks at all.
To see how all the SEC teams rank, click here.

 

[TerryP]

I saw a study about two weeks ago that said the same thing...but, used Kentucky as the school to attend using the same standard used here.

 

[planomateo]

https://blogs.emory.edu/sportsmarke...rafted-in-the-nfl-go-to-kentucky-not-alabama/

I'm still processing this, almost need to see this visualized more.

My first thought, of course a school will have better odds at maximizing their draft potential with fewer 4/5*'s.

 

[TerryP]

https://blogs.emory.edu/sportsmarke...rafted-in-the-nfl-go-to-kentucky-not-alabama/

I'm still processing this, almost need to see this visualized more.

My first thought, of course a school will have better odds at maximizing their draft potential with fewer 4/5*'s.

You're on the mark Matt. If a school gets two 4/5* players and both get in the NFL they have a higher percentage of players reach the next level than a school with 15 and only gets eight or nine.

This graph tells a lot.

11 players, five still in school, four left on their "own accord," one early entry and one who no longer plays football.

From an academic school like Emory, where's the number like top 10 in graduating players (75%)? Or, I don't know, 15% of last years roster drafted?

I hate to use this example, but it fits. It's like the government saying there is a decrease in the number of people receiving unemployment but not releasing in the same report the number of people who ran out of eligibility.

 

[TerryP]

In other thread about recruiting I ran into this list of the top player in the nation according to Rivals. I immediately thought of this thread so I brought the list over here.

Without this group listing more details of the study—IE: making a comparison of a school bringing in two highly ranked prep kids and having both drafted versus a school bringing in 10 and having 8 drafted—at its fundamental core it's flawed.

Why? They're using rankings of high school players without regard of whether or not the original ranking happened to be flawed from the onset.

While the '10 player is still in school, look at what happened with '07-'09. These were not first round picks. Would they have been at Vandy? Kentucky? Ohio State, which puts a lot of kids in the league, certainly didn't make a difference with Pryor.

'07 Jimmy Clausen
'08 Terrelle Pryor
'09 Bryce Brown
'10 Ronald Powell
'11 Jadeveon Clowney
'12 Dorial Green-Beckham